METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Heavyweight
VS
78%
Walker
22%
Brzeski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
15 – 1
6'6"78" reachOrthodox28 yrs5-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 75
★ Official Result
Lukasz BrzeskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Valter Walker · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Walker
→
Actual result
Brzeski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Walker is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Brzeski has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WalkerBrzeski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Walker
Brzeski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Brzeski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.6
21.3
65.7
Performance Avg
20.7
54
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
30
Walker
Brzeski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
9.5
Style: Pressure
0.4
1.7
Style: Volume
8.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
3
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Walker
Brzeski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Walker
Brzeski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Walker
Brzeski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
30
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Walker
Brzeski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Brzeski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
WalkerBrzeski
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBrzeski
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the body (60% of attacks) — Brzeski absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Brzeski targets the head (40% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Brzeski
0/0R00/0
Walker · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Thomas PetersenSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Louie SutherlandSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R1
Don'Tale MayesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Junior TafaSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
Brzeski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Mick ParkinKO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Valter WalkerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08