UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Heavyweight
VS
78%
Walker
22%
Brzeski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Valter Walker
"The Clean Monster"
15 – 1
6'6"78" reachOrthodox28 yrs4-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 74
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walker
Walker is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Brzeski throws more volume but Walker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brzeski has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Walker
Brzeski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Brzeski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
21.3
64.4
Performance Avg
20.7
54
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
30
Walker
Brzeski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
3
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Walker
Brzeski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Walker
Brzeski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Walker
Brzeski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
30
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Walker
Brzeski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Brzeski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
WalkerBrzeski
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBrzeski
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the body (60% of attacks) — Brzeski absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Brzeski targets the head (40% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Brzeski
0/0R00/0
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Brzeski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Walker · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Louie SutherlandRating 5Submission
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R1
Don'Tale MayesRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Junior TafaRating 5.8Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Brzeski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Mick ParkinRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Valter WalkerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08