METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Featherweight
VS
20%
Lentz
80%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:10
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR3 · 1:10
def. Nik Lentz · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LentzOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lentz
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
63.3
45.3
Performance Avg
58.6
35
Quality of Victory
51
53
Momentum Score
100
Lentz
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.4
Style: Volume
2.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Lentz
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.1
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
6.8
2
Submission wins
17
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lentz
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Lentz
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Lentz
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
84%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
17
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
LentzOliveira
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the body (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the body (43% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardKO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04