UFC 85: Bedlam
London, United Kingdom
7 Jun 2008
Welterweight
VS
55%
Swick
45%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swick
This is a genuine toss-up — Swick at 55% vs Davis at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swick
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
70"
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Swick
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
18.7
55.0
Performance Avg
52.8
47
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
56
Swick
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
6
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance5
4Clinch4
3Ground0
Swick
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Swick
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Swick
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
78%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
SwickDavis
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDavis
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the body (50% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
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