UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Catch Weight
VS
90%
Brener
10%
Kruschewsky
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brener
Brener is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brener has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: Brener throws more volume but Kruschewsky connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Brener
Kruschewsky
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brener
Kruschewsky
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
5.5
47.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Brener
Kruschewsky
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
2
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Brener
Kruschewsky
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brener
Kruschewsky
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Brener
Kruschewsky
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Brener
Kruschewsky
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brener
Kruschewsky
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BrenerKruschewsky
Strike Zones
Brener
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedKruschewsky
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brener targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Kruschewsky absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kruschewsky targets the head (75% of attacks) — Brener absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brener
RND
Kruschewsky
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brener · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Kruschewsky · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Brener · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Kaynan KruschewskyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · KO · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Kruschewsky · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Elves BrenerRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11