Darren Elkins vs Lucas Martins — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

25 Oct 2014

Featherweight

71%

Elkins

29%

Martins

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Darren Elkins

"The Damage"

29 – 12

5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 44

Lucas Martins

"Mineiro"

19 – 3

Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Darren ElkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Lucas Martins · UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Elkins

→

Actual result

Elkins wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Elkins is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ElkinsMartins

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Elkins

Martins

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

+6'0"

71"

Reach

+72"

Age

+37

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Elkins

Martins

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

44.3

18.1

45.5

Performance Avg

49.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Elkins

Martins

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

6.1

/ 10

4.4

Style: Pressure

7.0

6.3

Style: Volume

3.1

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance2

7Clinch6

0Ground0

Elkins

Martins

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.8

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

1.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

1.6

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Elkins

Martins

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.4 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

31/41 fights

Chin rating based on

7/22 fights

Elkins

Martins

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

Elkins

Martins

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

37%

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins

Martins

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.1

2.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

1.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

1.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

4.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.0

6.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.1

Elkins

Strike Zones

Martins

Elkins

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Martins

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Elkins targets the body (50% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Martins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins

RND

Martins

0/0R00/0

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Yadier del Valle

KO/TKO

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L · KO · R1

Julian Erosa

KO/TKO

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W · Dec · R3

Daniel Pineda

Decision

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W · Sub · R3

TJ Brown

Submission

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L · Dec · R3

Jonathan Pearce

Decision

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Martins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Robert Whiteford

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

L · KO · R2

Mirsad Bektic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05

L · Dec · R3

Darren Elkins

Decision

UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10

W · KO · R3

Alex White

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07

W · Sub · R1

Ramiro Hernandez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Lucas Martins

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