Sean Strickland vs Krzysztof Jotko — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka

Las Vegas, USA

1 May 2021

Middleweight

72%

Strickland

28%

Jotko

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Sean Strickland

31 – 7

6'1"76" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 58

Krzysztof Jotko

24 – 6

Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"

CFR 23

★ Official Result

Sean StricklandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Krzysztof Jotko · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Strickland

→

Actual result

Strickland wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Strickland is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StricklandJotko

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Strickland

Jotko

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

6'1"

76"

Reach

+77"

35+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Strickland

Jotko

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

57.7

22.7

50.9

Performance Avg

42.8

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Strickland

Jotko

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.2

/ 10

2.2

/ 10

4.5

Style: Pressure

2.6

6.8

Style: Volume

8.6

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

35Distance12

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Strickland

Jotko

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

2.2

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.5

0.6

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strickland

Jotko

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.5 stoppage

9 fights ago

Last KO loss

7 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

25/38 fights

Chin rating based on

17/30 fights

Strickland

Jotko

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Strickland

Jotko

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Strickland

Jotko

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.2

2.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.2

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.5

0.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

2.6

6.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.6

Strickland

Strike Zones

Jotko

Strickland

Attacking

35 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Jotko

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

35 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Strickland targets the head (49% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 49% of strikes there

🎯Jotko targets the head (50% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Strickland

RND

Jotko

0/0R00/0

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R3

Anthony Hernandez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R5

Paulo Costa

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Jotko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Brendan Allen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

W · Dec · R3

Gerald Meerschaert

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

W · Dec · R3

Misha Cirkunov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10

L · Dec · R3

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05

W · Dec · R3

Eryk Anders

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

News & Media

Sean Strickland · Krzysztof Jotko

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