METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
49%
Zhelezniakova
51%
Mullins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daria ZhelezniakovawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Melissa Mullins · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mullins
→
Actual result
Zhelezniakova wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Zhelezniakova at 49% vs Mullins at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mullins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Mullins has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZhelezniakovaMullins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
68"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
42.8
35.0
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
40
61
Momentum Score
41
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
4.7
9.0
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
9
Body
6
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
20Distance15
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
5/9 fights
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
41
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zhelezniakova
Mullins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
ZhelezniakovaMullins
Strike Zones
Zhelezniakova
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedMullins
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zhelezniakova targets the head (55% of attacks) — Mullins absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Mullins targets the head (44% of attacks) — Zhelezniakova absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zhelezniakova
RND
Mullins
0/0R00/0
Zhelezniakova · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Melissa MullinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Ailin PerezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Montse RendonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Mullins · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Bia MesquitaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Daria ZhelezniakovaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Klaudia SygulaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Nora CornolleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Irina AlekseevaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10