METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Middleweight
VS
54%
Boetsch
46%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tim BoetschwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. CB Dollaway · UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boetsch
→
Actual result
Boetsch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 54% vs Dollaway at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BoetschDollaway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Boetsch
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
14.3
46.0
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
69
Momentum Score
51
Boetsch
Dollaway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.2
4.3
Style: Volume
5.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
14
2
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance17
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Boetsch
Dollaway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boetsch
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Boetsch
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
36%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boetsch
Dollaway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
BoetschDollaway
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDollaway
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dollaway targets the head (67% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boetsch
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
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Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
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W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalKO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Dollaway · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievKO/TKO
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W · R1
Hector LombardUFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingDecision
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