UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Middleweight
VS
54%
Boetsch
46%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
CD
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Boetsch

This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 54% vs Dollaway at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Boetsch
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
14.3
46.0
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
69
Momentum Score
51
Boetsch
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
14
2
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance17
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Boetsch
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Boetsch
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
36%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Dollaway
Striking6.8 / 2.9Volume4.3 / 5.5Grappling1.0 / 2.8Wrestling0.7 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure5.6 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Dollaway
Boetsch
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Dollaway
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dollaway targets the head (67% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Dollaway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L4.7W4.0W2.8L2008-062010-022013-012015-042018-09
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Dollaway · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · CB Dollaway
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