UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Abdurakhimov
75%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
Almeida is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Abdurakhimov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.1
70.9
41.0
Performance Avg
61.0
38
Quality of Victory
53
15
Momentum Score
100
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
64%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
30
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground30
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
88%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abdurakhimov
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
AbdurakhimovAlmeida
Strike Zones
Abdurakhimov
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (97% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abdurakhimov
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Abdurakhimov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 5.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03