METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
55%
O'Malley
45%
Sterling
Win Probability
KO/TKO · Punch
Round 2 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Sean O'MalleywinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:40
def. Aljamain Sterling · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Malley
→
Actual result
O'Malley wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Malley at 55% vs Sterling at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sterling has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
O'MalleySterling
81
Sig. Strikes
71
10.8
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.5
66%
Strike Accuracy
64%
1:30
Control Time
2:35
O'Malley
Sterling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
72"
Reach
72"
31+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
O'Malley
Sterling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
54.2
59.5
Performance Avg
54.2
47
Quality of Victory
38
95
Momentum Score
71
O'Malley
Sterling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.9
8.1
66%
Strike Accuracy
61%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
49
Head
41
19
Body
17
13
Leg
13
RangeRange
51Distance30
12Clinch10
18Ground31
O'Malley
Sterling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
0.0
0%
Takedown Accuracy
0%
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1:30
Control Time (this fight)
2:35
0
Reversals
0
O'Malley
Sterling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
O'Malley
Sterling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
71
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
O'Malley
Sterling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Malley
Sterling
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
O'MalleySterling
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Attacking
81 landedAbsorbing
71 absorbedSterling
Attacking
71 landedAbsorbing
81 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Malley targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Sterling targets the head (58% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Malley
RND
Sterling
51/75R147/75
30/48R224/36
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
O'Malley · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Aljamain SterlingRating 2.5Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 534 · 2032-03
W · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.1KO/TKO · Punch
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Sterling · Last 2
W · Sub · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.5Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 534 · 2032-03
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO · Punch
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Fight Videos
O'Malley
L
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
O'Malley
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2023-08
Sterling
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
Sterling
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2023-08