★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Middleweight
VS
47%
Strickland
53%
Adesanya
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 5 · 5:00
SS
Sean Strickland
"Tarzan"
28 – 6
6'1"76" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 58
IA
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 3
Well-Rounded5-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Adesanya

This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 47% vs Adesanya at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Adesanya has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Strickland
Adesanya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+80"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Strickland
Adesanya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
65.8
50.9
Performance Avg
64.5
37
Quality of Victory
62
100
Momentum Score
100
Strickland
Adesanya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
9.8
8.5
62%
Strike Accuracy
69%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
135
Head
127
57
Body
51
40
Leg
29
RangeRange
146Distance137
39Clinch29
47Ground41
Strickland
Adesanya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
0.0
10%
Takedown Accuracy
0%
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
5:01
Control Time (this fight)
3:25
0
Reversals
0
Strickland
Adesanya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
88%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
74%
5/34 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Strickland
Adesanya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
Strickland
Adesanya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
39%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Strickland
Adesanya
Striking4.2 / 5.2Volume6.8 / 6.3Grappling2.0 / 1.5Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.6 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Strickland
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Strickland
Attacking
135HEAD57BODY40LEGS232 landed
Absorbing
127HEAD51BODY29LEGS207 absorbed
Adesanya
Attacking
127HEAD51BODY29LEGS207 landed
Absorbing
135HEAD57BODY40LEGS232 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (58% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Adesanya targets the head (61% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Strickland
RND
Adesanya
53/88R144/62
51/80R241/59
48/77R341/56
36/64R444/64
44/71R537/52

Strickland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.0W7.4L6.0W3.4L6.3W2023-092024-012031-102031-112031-11
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.6L5.3L6.6L4.7L6.6L2023-092024-082031-102031-102031-10
WinLossTrend

Strickland · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.3
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 514 · 2031-11
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Adesanya · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 512 · 2031-10
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Sean Strickland · Israel Adesanya
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