METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Middleweight
VS
56%
Plessis
44%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision · Split
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dricus Du PlessiswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Sean Strickland · UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Plessis
→
Actual result
Plessis wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 56% vs Strickland at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Plessis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Plessis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PlessisStrickland
239
Sig. Strikes
242
9.6
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.7
64%
Strike Accuracy
63%
2 (18%)
Takedowns
0 (0%)
7:09
Control Time
4:00
Plessis
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Plessis
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.5
57.7
65.6
Performance Avg
50.9
49
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
100
Plessis
Strickland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.1
9.8
62%
Strike Accuracy
62%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
139
Head
141
57
Body
58
43
Leg
43
RangeRange
131Distance153
41Clinch41
67Ground48
Plessis
Strickland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.4
24%
Takedown Accuracy
10%
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
7:09
Control Time (this fight)
4:00
0
Reversals
0
Plessis
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
81%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
88%
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
5/34 fights
Plessis
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Plessis
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Plessis
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
PlessisStrickland
Strike Zones
Plessis
Attacking
239 landedAbsorbing
242 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
242 landedAbsorbing
239 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Plessis targets the head (58% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (58% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Plessis
RND
Strickland
50/84R160/91
54/86R246/73
55/82R343/73
41/64R447/75
39/60R546/74
Plessis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Plessis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 5.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11
W · KO · R1
Sean StricklandRating 6.1KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Strickland · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.3KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 514 · 2031-11
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Fight Videos
Plessis
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-11
Plessis
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Plessis
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-10
Plessis
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2024-08
Strickland
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Strickland
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Strickland
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Strickland
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2024-01