METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Featherweight
VS
56%
Topuria
44%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO · Punches
Round 2 · 0:54
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:54
def. Alexander Volkanovski · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Topuria at 56% vs Volkanovski at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Volkanovski throws more volume but Topuria connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TopuriaVolkanovski
57
Sig. Strikes
79
7.6
Strikes / min (SLpM)
10.5
67%
Strike Accuracy
64%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
2 (40%)
1:30
Control Time
3:57
Topuria
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
+72"
29+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Topuria
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.5
64.0
77.8
Performance Avg
59.8
63
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Topuria
Volkanovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.2
9.6
68%
Strike Accuracy
66%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
47
13
Body
19
11
Leg
13
RangeRange
29Distance40
10Clinch14
18Ground25
Topuria
Volkanovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.2
22%
Takedown Accuracy
17%
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1:30
Control Time (this fight)
3:57
0
Reversals
0
Topuria
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
73%
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Topuria
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Topuria
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Topuria
Volkanovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
TopuriaVolkanovski
Strike Zones
Topuria
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
79 absorbedVolkanovski
Attacking
79 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Topuria targets the head (58% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (59% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Topuria
RND
Volkanovski
39/59R147/74
18/26R232/49
Topuria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.5WinLossTrend
Volkanovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Topuria · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 533 · 2032-03
W · Sub · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.7Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 532 · 2032-03
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.5KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.6KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Volkanovski · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 533 · 2032-03
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 5.2KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 531 · 2032-03
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Fight Videos
Topuria
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-03
Topuria
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
Topuria
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-10
Topuria
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-02
Volkanovski
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-03
Volkanovski
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2032-03
Volkanovski
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-02
Volkanovski
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2023-10