★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
53%
Plessis
47%
Adesanya
Win Probability
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
Round 4 · 3:44
DD
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
22 – 2
6'1"75" reachOrthodox32 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 74
IA
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 3
Well-Rounded5-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Plessis

This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 53% vs Adesanya at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Plessis throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Adesanya has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Plessis
Adesanya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Plessis
Adesanya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.5
65.8
65.6
Performance Avg
64.5
49
Quality of Victory
62
100
Momentum Score
100
Plessis
Adesanya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
9.1
8.5
62%
Strike Accuracy
69%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
82
Head
93
34
Body
36
28
Leg
22
RangeRange
78Distance100
23Clinch21
43Ground30
Plessis
Adesanya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
0.0
24%
Takedown Accuracy
0%
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
5:27
Control Time (this fight)
2:30
0
Reversals
0
Plessis
Adesanya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
18
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
81%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
74%
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Plessis
Adesanya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
Plessis
Adesanya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
39%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Plessis
Adesanya
Striking6.2 / 5.2Volume4.5 / 6.3Grappling2.6 / 1.5Wrestling1.8 / 1.0Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Plessis
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Plessis
Attacking
82HEAD34BODY28LEGS144 landed
Absorbing
93HEAD36BODY22LEGS151 absorbed
Adesanya
Attacking
93HEAD36BODY22LEGS151 landed
Absorbing
82HEAD34BODY28LEGS144 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Plessis targets the head (57% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Adesanya targets the head (62% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Plessis
RND
Adesanya
42/65R152/73
55/86R247/70
37/65R345/64
10/18R47/13

Plessis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0105.6W6.9W6.8W6.1W5.6W2024-012024-082031-102031-112031-11
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.6L5.3L6.6L4.7L6.6L2023-092024-082031-102031-102031-10
WinLossTrend

Plessis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 5.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11
W · KO · R1
Sean StricklandRating 6.1
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6
Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Adesanya · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 512 · 2031-10
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Dricus Du Plessis · Israel Adesanya
← Back to fights