Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

New York, USA

16 Nov 2024

Heavyweight

56%

Jones

44%

Miocic

Win Probability

KO/TKO · Punches

Round 3 · 2:28

Jon Jones

"Bones"

29 – 1

6'4"84" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 80

Stipe Miocic

20 – 4

Striker3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"

CFR 63

★ Official Result

Jon JoneswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:28

def. Stipe Miocic · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Jones

→

Actual result

Jones wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 56% vs Miocic at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miocic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

JonesMiocic

104

Sig. Strikes

121

8.3

Strikes / min (SLpM)

9.7

66%

Strike Accuracy

65%

2 (29%)

Takedowns

0 (0%)

4:26

Control Time

2:55

Jones

Miocic

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"

Height

6'4"

84"+

Reach

80"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Jones

Miocic

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

80.3

63.0

76.7

Performance Avg

65.6

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Jones

Miocic

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

8.9

64%

Strike Accuracy

64%

4.6

Striking Style Score (/10)

7.9

1 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

48Distance66

16Clinch20

40Ground35

Jones

Miocic

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

0.0

33%

Takedown Accuracy

3.3

Grappling Style Score (/10)

0.9

2.3

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.6

4:26

Control Time (this fight)

2:55

Reversals

Jones

Miocic

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

70%

Fade index (R3÷R1 output)

58%

3/30 fights

Chin rating based on

3/24 fights

Jones

Miocic

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

W · KO · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R3

Jones

Miocic

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

55%

64%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones

Miocic

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.9

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.9

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

2.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.7

5.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.3

Jones

Strike Zones

Miocic

Jones

Attacking

104 landed

Absorbing

121 absorbed

Miocic

Attacking

121 landed

Absorbing

104 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Jones targets the head (60% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Miocic targets the head (58% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones

RND

Miocic

43/66R145/69

39/53R260/92

22/38R316/24

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.9

WinLossTrend

Miocic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9

WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 3

W · Sub · R1

Francis NgannouRating 7.2

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night 502 · 2031-08

W · Sub · R2

Stipe MiocicRating 6.7

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night 501 · 2031-08

W · KO · R3

Stipe MiocicRating 6.7

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

Miocic · Last 3

L · Dec · R3

Francis NgannouRating 7.7

Decision · Unanimous

UFC Fight Night 503 · 2031-08

L · Sub · R2

Jon JonesRating 5

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night 501 · 2031-08

L · KO · R3

Jon JonesRating 5

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

Fight Videos

Jones

vs TBC

Submission · 2031-08

Jones

vs TBC

Submission · 2031-08

Jones

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2024-11

Miocic

vs TBC

Decision · 2031-08

Miocic

vs TBC

Submission · 2031-08

Miocic

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2024-11

News & Media

Jon Jones · Stipe Miocic

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