Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night 501

Las Vegas, USA

9 Aug 2031

Heavyweight

56%

Jones

44%

Miocic

Win Probability

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

Round 2 · 4:52

Jon Jones

"Bones"

29 – 1

6'4"84" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 80

Stipe Miocic

20 – 4

Striker3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"

CFR 63

★ Official Result

Jon JoneswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:52

def. Stipe Miocic · UFC Fight Night 501

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Jones

→

Actual result

Jones wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 56% vs Miocic at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miocic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

JonesMiocic

Sig. Strikes

7.5

Strikes / min (SLpM)

8.7

61%

Strike Accuracy

61%

2 (40%)

Takedowns

0 (0%)

3:02

Control Time

1:30

Jones

Miocic

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"

Height

6'4"

84"+

Reach

80"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Jones

Miocic

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

80.3

63.0

76.7

Performance Avg

65.6

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Jones

Miocic

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

8.9

64%

Strike Accuracy

64%

4.6

Striking Style Score (/10)

7.9

1 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

26Distance36

8Clinch11

22Ground18

Jones

Miocic

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

0.0

33%

Takedown Accuracy

3.3

Grappling Style Score (/10)

0.9

2.3

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.6

3:02

Control Time (this fight)

1:30

Reversals

Jones

Miocic

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

70%

Fade index (R3÷R1 output)

58%

3/30 fights

Chin rating based on

3/24 fights

Jones

Miocic

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

W · KO · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R3

Jones

Miocic

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

55%

64%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones

Miocic

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.9

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.9

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

2.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.7

5.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.3

Jones

Strike Zones

Miocic

Jones

Attacking

56 landed

Absorbing

65 absorbed

Miocic

Attacking

65 landed

Absorbing

56 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Jones targets the head (59% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 59% of strikes there

🎯Miocic targets the head (57% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones

RND

Miocic

45/72R145/72

11/20R220/34

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.9

WinLossTrend

Miocic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9

WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 3

W · Sub · R1

Francis NgannouRating 7.2

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night 502 · 2031-08

W · Sub · R2

Stipe MiocicRating 6.7

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night 501 · 2031-08

W · KO · R3

Stipe MiocicRating 6.7

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

Miocic · Last 3

L · Dec · R3

Francis NgannouRating 7.7

Decision · Unanimous

UFC Fight Night 503 · 2031-08

L · Sub · R2

Jon JonesRating 5

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC Fight Night 501 · 2031-08

L · KO · R3

Jon JonesRating 5

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

Fight Videos

Jones

vs TBC

Submission · 2031-08

Jones

vs TBC

Submission · 2031-08

Jones

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2024-11

Miocic

vs TBC

Decision · 2031-08

Miocic

vs TBC

Submission · 2031-08

Miocic

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2024-11

News & Media

Jon Jones · Stipe Miocic

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