METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 503
Las Vegas, USA
23 Aug 2031
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Miocic
55%
Ngannou
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francis NgannouwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Stipe Miocic · UFC Fight Night 503
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ngannou
→
Actual result
Ngannou wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miocic at 45% vs Ngannou at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ngannou throws more volume but Miocic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MiocicNgannou
126
Sig. Strikes
148
8.4
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.9
64%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3:00
Control Time
2:55
Miocic
Ngannou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
+83"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Ngannou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.0
78.2
65.6
Performance Avg
70.4
60
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
100
Miocic
Ngannou
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.9
10.2
64%
Strike Accuracy
56%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
73
Head
82
31
Body
36
22
Leg
30
RangeRange
69Distance88
21Clinch25
36Ground35
Miocic
Ngannou
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
0.0
0%
Takedown Accuracy
0%
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
3:00
Control Time (this fight)
2:55
0
Reversals
0
Miocic
Ngannou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
58%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
94%
3/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Miocic
Ngannou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Miocic
Ngannou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miocic
Ngannou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
MiocicNgannou
Strike Zones
Miocic
Attacking
126 landedAbsorbing
148 absorbedNgannou
Attacking
148 landedAbsorbing
126 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (58% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Ngannou targets the head (55% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miocic
RND
Ngannou
44/72R154/91
46/65R254/99
36/61R340/73
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Ngannou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Miocic · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Francis NgannouRating 7.7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 503 · 2031-08
L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesRating 5Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 501 · 2031-08
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 5KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Ngannou · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 5.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 503 · 2031-08
L · Sub · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.8Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 502 · 2031-08
Fight Videos
Miocic
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Miocic
L
vs TBC
Submission · 2031-08
Miocic
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-11
Ngannou
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Ngannou
L
vs TBC
Submission · 2031-08