METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 504
Las Vegas, USA
30 Aug 2031
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Pereira
47%
Prochazka
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jiri ProchazkawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Pereira · UFC Fight Night 504
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Prochazka wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 53% vs Prochazka at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Prochazka throws more volume but Pereira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Prochazka has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraProchazka
128
Sig. Strikes
140
8.5
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.3
65%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
2 (33%)
1:45
Control Time
4:28
Pereira
Prochazka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"
Reach
80"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Prochazka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.9
68.4
77.0
Performance Avg
60.9
73
Quality of Victory
57
78
Momentum Score
98
Pereira
Prochazka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.4
9.6
66%
Strike Accuracy
62%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
76
Head
81
30
Body
34
22
Leg
25
RangeRange
85Distance83
22Clinch25
21Ground32
Pereira
Prochazka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
0.5
0%
Takedown Accuracy
11%
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
1:45
Control Time (this fight)
4:28
0
Reversals
0
Pereira
Prochazka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
34
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
90%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
98%
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Pereira
Prochazka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Pereira
Prochazka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Prochazka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
PereiraProchazka
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
128 landedAbsorbing
140 absorbedProchazka
Attacking
140 landedAbsorbing
128 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (59% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Prochazka targets the head (58% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Prochazka
47/72R148/81
42/64R242/72
39/62R350/75
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Prochazka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 506 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 505 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 7.2Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 504 · 2031-08
W · KO · R1
rountree-khalilRating 6.5KO/TKO · Head Kick and Punches
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Prochazka · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 508 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 507 · 2031-09
W · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 504 · 2031-08
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.3Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Fight Videos
Pereira
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Pereira
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Pereira
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Pereira
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-10
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Prochazka
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-06