METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 505
Las Vegas, USA
6 Sept 2031
Light Heavyweight
VS
62%
Pereira
38%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Pereira · UFC Fight Night 505
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pereira holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Blachowicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraBlachowicz
158
Sig. Strikes
137
10.5
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.1
65%
Strike Accuracy
67%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
1 (33%)
2:05
Control Time
3:32
Pereira
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.9
46.4
77.0
Performance Avg
53.0
73
Quality of Victory
48
78
Momentum Score
20
Pereira
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.4
9.2
66%
Strike Accuracy
65%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
95
Head
79
38
Body
33
25
Leg
25
RangeRange
106Distance81
27Clinch21
25Ground35
Pereira
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
0.3
0%
Takedown Accuracy
6%
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2:05
Control Time (this fight)
3:32
0
Reversals
0
Pereira
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
54
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
90%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
102%
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/39 fights
Pereira
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
20
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pereira
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
58%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
PereiraBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
158 landedAbsorbing
137 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
137 landedAbsorbing
158 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (58% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Blachowicz
51/77R147/76
59/91R246/69
48/76R344/61
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Blachowicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.6WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 506 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 505 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 7.2Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 504 · 2031-08
W · KO · R1
rountree-khalilRating 6.5KO/TKO · Head Kick and Punches
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Blachowicz · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 509 · 2031-10
W · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.2Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 507 · 2031-09
W · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 505 · 2031-09
Fight Videos
Pereira
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Pereira
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Pereira
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Pereira
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-10
Blachowicz
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Blachowicz
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Blachowicz
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09