METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 506
Las Vegas, USA
13 Sept 2031
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Pereira
46%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex PereirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night 506
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 54% vs Ankalaev at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Pereira throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraAnkalaev
140
Sig. Strikes
127
9.3
Strikes / min (SLpM)
8.5
66%
Strike Accuracy
67%
0 (—)
Takedowns
1 (10%)
1:50
Control Time
4:57
Pereira
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
78"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.9
66.0
77.0
Performance Avg
59.9
73
Quality of Victory
43
78
Momentum Score
100
Pereira
Ankalaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.4
9.0
66%
Strike Accuracy
66%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
84
Head
77
34
Body
31
22
Leg
19
RangeRange
94Distance64
24Clinch20
22Ground43
Pereira
Ankalaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
1.7
0%
Takedown Accuracy
19%
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1:50
Control Time (this fight)
4:57
0
Reversals
0
Pereira
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
90%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
92%
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Pereira
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Ankalaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
PereiraAnkalaev
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
140 landedAbsorbing
127 absorbedAnkalaev
Attacking
127 landedAbsorbing
140 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (61% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Ankalaev
56/84R138/57
42/63R248/69
42/64R341/64
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.3WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 506 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 505 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 7.2Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 504 · 2031-08
W · KO · R1
rountree-khalilRating 6.5KO/TKO · Head Kick and Punches
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Ankalaev · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 509 · 2031-10
W · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.2Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 508 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 506 · 2031-09
Fight Videos
Pereira
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Pereira
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Pereira
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Pereira
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-10
Ankalaev
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Ankalaev
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Ankalaev
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09