METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 507
Las Vegas, USA
20 Sept 2031
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Prochazka
40%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jiri Prochazka · UFC Fight Night 507
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prochazka
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Prochazka holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Blachowicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Prochazka throws more volume but Blachowicz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Prochazka's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ProchazkaBlachowicz
150
Sig. Strikes
136
10.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.1
60%
Strike Accuracy
63%
2:50
Control Time
2:50
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
33+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
46.4
60.9
Performance Avg
53.0
57
Quality of Victory
48
98
Momentum Score
20
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
9.2
62%
Strike Accuracy
65%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
87
Head
79
37
Body
32
26
Leg
25
RangeRange
89Distance81
27Clinch21
34Ground34
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.3
11%
Takedown Accuracy
6%
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2:50
Control Time (this fight)
2:50
0
Reversals
0
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
54
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
98%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
102%
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/39 fights
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prochazka
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
ProchazkaBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Prochazka
Attacking
150 landedAbsorbing
136 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
136 landedAbsorbing
150 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prochazka targets the head (58% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (58% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prochazka
RND
Blachowicz
53/81R147/74
52/89R250/77
45/78R339/64
Prochazka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Blachowicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.6WinLossTrend
Prochazka · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 508 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 507 · 2031-09
W · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 504 · 2031-08
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.3Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Blachowicz · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 509 · 2031-10
W · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.2Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 507 · 2031-09
W · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 505 · 2031-09
Fight Videos
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Prochazka
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-06
Blachowicz
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Blachowicz
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Blachowicz
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09