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UFC Fight Night 508
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2031
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Prochazka
49%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
Jiri
Jiri Prochazka
"Denisa"
83
6'3"80" reachSouthpaw33 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 68
Magomed
Magomed Ankalaev
191
Striker2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 66
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jiri Prochazka · UFC Fight Night 508

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prochazka
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Prochazka at 51% vs Ankalaev at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Prochazka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Prochazka throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Prochazka's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ProchazkaAnkalaev
144
Sig. Strikes
139
9.6
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
66%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
2 (29%)
2:45
Control Time
5:06
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
66.0
60.9
Performance Avg
59.9
57
Quality of Victory
43
98
Momentum Score
100
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
9.0
62%
Strike Accuracy
66%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
84
Head
83
35
Body
33
25
Leg
23
RangeRange
85Distance71
26Clinch22
33Ground46
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.7
11%
Takedown Accuracy
19%
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2:45
Control Time (this fight)
5:06
0
Reversals
0
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
66
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
98%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
92%
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prochazka
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Prochazka
Ankalaev
Striking9.7 / 6.7Volume1.3 / 5.7Grappling1.3 / 1.2Wrestling0.9 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure9.0 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Prochazka
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Prochazka
Attacking
84HEAD35BODY25LEGS144 landed
Absorbing
83HEAD33BODY23LEGS139 absorbed
Ankalaev
Attacking
83HEAD33BODY23LEGS139 landed
Absorbing
84HEAD35BODY25LEGS144 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Prochazka targets the head (58% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (60% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Prochazka
RND
Ankalaev
46/71R149/76
45/75R243/67
53/85R347/67

Prochazka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0107.3W3.6L6.6W6.1L7.0L2023-112024-062031-082031-092031-09
WinLossTrend

Ankalaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0107.6L6.2W5.1W2031-092031-092031-10
WinLossTrend

Prochazka · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 508 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 507 · 2031-09
W · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 6.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 504 · 2031-08
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.3
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Ankalaev · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 509 · 2031-10
W · Dec · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.2
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 508 · 2031-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 506 · 2031-09

Fight Videos

Fight video
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Fight video
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Fight video
Prochazka
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-08
Fight video
Prochazka
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-06
Fight video
Ankalaev
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Fight video
Ankalaev
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09
Fight video
Ankalaev
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-09

News & Media

Jiri Prochazka · Magomed Ankalaev
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