METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 511
Las Vegas, USA
18 Oct 2031
Middleweight
VS
47%
Adesanya
53%
Plessis
Win Probability
KO/TKO · Punches
Round 2 · 2:51
CFR 66
★ Official Result
Dricus Du PlessiswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:51
def. Israel Adesanya · UFC Fight Night 511
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Plessis
→
Actual result
Plessis wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 47% vs Plessis at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Plessis throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AdesanyaPlessis
69
Sig. Strikes
70
9.2
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.3
70%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
1 (33%)
1:10
Control Time
2:45
0
Knockdowns
1
Adesanya
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
75"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
73.5
64.5
Performance Avg
65.6
62
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Plessis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
9.1
69%
Strike Accuracy
62%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
40
16
Body
17
10
Leg
13
RangeRange
46Distance39
9Clinch12
14Ground19
Adesanya
Plessis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
1.8
0%
Takedown Accuracy
24%
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1:10
Control Time (this fight)
2:45
0
Reversals
0
Adesanya
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
74%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
81%
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Adesanya
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Plessis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AdesanyaPlessis
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
69 landedAbsorbing
70 absorbedPlessis
Attacking
70 landedAbsorbing
69 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (62% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (57% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Plessis
51/75R150/76
18/23R220/38
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Plessis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Adesanya · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 512 · 2031-10
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Plessis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 5.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11
W · KO · R1
Sean StricklandRating 6.1KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Fight Videos
Adesanya
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Adesanya
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-10
Adesanya
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Adesanya
L
vs TBC
Submission · 2024-08
Plessis
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-11
Plessis
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Plessis
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-10
Plessis
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2024-08