METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 513
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2031
Middleweight
VS
44%
Strickland
56%
Plessis
Win Probability
KO/TKO · Punches
Round 1 · 2:19
★ Official Result
Dricus Du PlessiswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:19
def. Sean Strickland · UFC Fight Night 513
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Plessis
→
Actual result
Plessis wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 44% vs Plessis at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Plessis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Plessis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StricklandPlessis
33
Sig. Strikes
25
13.2
Strikes / min (SLpM)
10.0
61%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0:35
Control Time
0:35
Strickland
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Strickland
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
73.5
50.9
Performance Avg
65.6
37
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
100
Strickland
Plessis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
9.1
62%
Strike Accuracy
62%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
14
8
Body
6
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
21Distance14
5Clinch4
7Ground7
Strickland
Plessis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
1.8
10%
Takedown Accuracy
24%
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:35
Control Time (this fight)
0:35
0
Reversals
0
Strickland
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
88%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
81%
5/34 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Strickland
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Strickland
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Plessis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
StricklandPlessis
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedPlessis
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (58% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (56% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Plessis
33/54R125/42
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Plessis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Strickland · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.3KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 514 · 2031-11
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Plessis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 5.6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11
W · KO · R1
Sean StricklandRating 6.1KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Fight Videos
Strickland
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Strickland
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Strickland
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Strickland
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2024-01
Plessis
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-11
Plessis
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Plessis
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-10
Plessis
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2024-08