METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 514
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2031
Middleweight
VS
50%
Strickland
50%
Whittaker
Win Probability
KO/TKO · Punches
Round 2 · 4:44
★ Official Result
Sean StricklandwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:44
def. Robert Whittaker · UFC Fight Night 514
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Strickland
→
Actual result
Strickland wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 50% vs Whittaker at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Whittaker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Whittaker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StricklandWhittaker
82
Sig. Strikes
91
10.9
Strikes / min (SLpM)
12.1
63%
Strike Accuracy
69%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
1 (50%)
1:25
Control Time
2:47
Strickland
Whittaker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Strickland
Whittaker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
56.9
50.9
Performance Avg
60.9
37
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
71
Strickland
Whittaker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
9.8
62%
Strike Accuracy
66%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
48
Head
54
20
Body
22
14
Leg
15
RangeRange
51Distance54
14Clinch15
17Ground22
Strickland
Whittaker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
0.4
10%
Takedown Accuracy
9%
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1:25
Control Time (this fight)
2:47
0
Reversals
0
Strickland
Whittaker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
88%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
85%
5/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/32 fights
Strickland
Whittaker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Strickland
Whittaker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
35%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Whittaker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
StricklandWhittaker
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
82 landedAbsorbing
91 absorbedWhittaker
Attacking
91 landedAbsorbing
82 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (59% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Whittaker targets the head (59% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Whittaker
56/90R160/86
26/40R231/46
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Strickland · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.3KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 514 · 2031-11
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11
W · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 510 · 2031-10
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision · Split
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Whittaker · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 514 · 2031-11
W · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 512 · 2031-10
Fight Videos
Strickland
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Strickland
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Strickland
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10
Strickland
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2024-01
Whittaker
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-11
Whittaker
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2031-11
Whittaker
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-10