Dricus Du Plessis vs Robert Whittaker — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night 515

Las Vegas, USA

15 Nov 2031

Middleweight

56%

Plessis

44%

Whittaker

Win Probability

Decision · Unanimous

Round 3 · 5:00

Dricus Du Plessis

"Stillknocks"

22 – 2

6'1"75" reachOrthodox32 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 74

Robert Whittaker

"The Reaper"

25 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"

CFR 57

★ Official Result

Dricus Du PlessiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Robert Whittaker · UFC Fight Night 515

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Plessis

→

Actual result

Plessis wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 56% vs Whittaker at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Whittaker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PlessisWhittaker

138

Sig. Strikes

143

9.2

Strikes / min (SLpM)

9.5

61%

Strike Accuracy

66%

3 (38%)

Takedowns

0 (0%)

6:44

Control Time

2:55

Plessis

Whittaker

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

6'0"

75"+

Reach

73"

32+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Plessis

Whittaker

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

73.5

56.9

65.6

Performance Avg

60.9

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Plessis

Whittaker

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

9.1

9.8

62%

Strike Accuracy

66%

6.2

Striking Style Score (/10)

5.0

2 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

76Distance84

23Clinch24

39Ground35

Plessis

Whittaker

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.8

0.4

24%

Takedown Accuracy

2.6

Grappling Style Score (/10)

1.6

1.8

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

1.1

6:44

Control Time (this fight)

2:55

Reversals

Plessis

Whittaker

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

81%

Fade index (R3÷R1 output)

85%

5/24 fights

Chin rating based on

3/32 fights

Plessis

Whittaker

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Plessis

Whittaker

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

35%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Plessis

Whittaker

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.0

2.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.6

1.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.1

2.2

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.6

4.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.6

Plessis

Strike Zones

Whittaker

Plessis

Attacking

138 landed

Absorbing

143 absorbed

Whittaker

Attacking

143 landed

Absorbing

138 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Plessis targets the head (58% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 58% of strikes there

🎯Whittaker targets the head (60% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Plessis

RND

Whittaker

55/90R153/80

49/77R242/63

34/58R348/75

Plessis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2

WinLossTrend

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8

WinLossTrend

Plessis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Robert WhittakerRating 5.6

Decision · Unanimous

UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11

W · KO · R1

Sean StricklandRating 6.1

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC Fight Night 513 · 2031-11

W · KO · R2

Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC Fight Night 511 · 2031-10

W · Sub · R4

Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9

Submission · Rear Naked Choke

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya 2 · 2024-08

W · Dec · R5

Sean StricklandRating 5.6

Decision · Split

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Whittaker · Last 3

L · Dec · R3

Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4

Decision · Unanimous

UFC Fight Night 515 · 2031-11

L · KO · R2

Sean StricklandRating 3.9

KO/TKO · Punches

UFC Fight Night 514 · 2031-11

W · Dec · R3

Israel AdesanyaRating 6

Decision · Unanimous

UFC Fight Night 512 · 2031-10

Fight Videos

Plessis

vs TBC

Decision · 2031-11

Plessis

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2031-11

Plessis

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2031-10

Plessis

vs TBC

Submission · 2024-08

Whittaker

vs TBC

Decision · 2031-11

Whittaker

vs TBC

KO/TKO · 2031-11

Whittaker

vs TBC

Decision · 2031-10

News & Media

Dricus Du Plessis · Robert Whittaker

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