METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 520
Las Vegas, USA
20 Dec 2031
Lightweight
VS
50%
Makhachev
50%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
CFR 74
★ Official Result
Islam MakhachevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Khabib Nurmagomedov · UFC Fight Night 520
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makhachev
→
Actual result
Makhachev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Makhachev at 50% vs Nurmagomedov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Makhachev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakhachevNurmagomedov
115
Sig. Strikes
129
7.7
Strikes / min (SLpM)
8.6
65%
Strike Accuracy
65%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
1 (9%)
3:55
Control Time
6:01
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.6
74.0
70.0
Performance Avg
68.2
54
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
100
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
7.7
66%
Strike Accuracy
62%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
68
Head
75
28
Body
31
19
Leg
23
RangeRange
49Distance50
19Clinch22
47Ground57
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
2.0
21%
Takedown Accuracy
17%
0.8
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3:55
Control Time (this fight)
6:01
0
Reversals
0
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
93%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
92%
7/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/29 fights
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
54%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makhachev
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MakhachevNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Makhachev
Attacking
115 landedAbsorbing
129 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
129 landedAbsorbing
115 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (59% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (58% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makhachev
RND
Nurmagomedov
31/49R136/59
48/73R251/76
36/55R342/64
Makhachev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.9WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.9WinLossTrend
Makhachev · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 6.5Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 520 · 2031-12
W · Sub · R3
Conor McGregorRating 8Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 519 · 2031-12
W · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeRating 6.7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 518 · 2031-12
W · Sub · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.9Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 517 · 2031-11
W · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 516 · 2031-11
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Conor McGregorRating 8Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 530 · 2032-02
W · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeRating 6.7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 529 · 2032-02
W · Sub · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 6.4Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 527 · 2032-02
W · Dec · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 524 · 2032-01
L · Dec · R3
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 520 · 2031-12
Fight Videos
Makhachev
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-12
Makhachev
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2031-12
Makhachev
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2031-12
Makhachev
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2031-11
Nurmagomedov
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-02
Nurmagomedov
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-02
Nurmagomedov
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-02
Nurmagomedov
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-01