METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night 532
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2032
Featherweight
VS
42%
Holloway
58%
Topuria
Win Probability
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
Round 3 · 4:58
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
26 – 7
5'11"67" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Ilia
Ilia Topuria
"El Matador"
16 – 0
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 83
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsSubmissionR3 · 4:58
def. Max Holloway · UFC Fight Night 532

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 42% vs Topuria at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Holloway throws more volume but Topuria connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HollowayTopuria
148
Sig. Strikes
119
11.8
Strikes / min (SLpM)
9.5
67%
Strike Accuracy
70%
0 (0%)
Takedowns
4 (36%)
2:50
Control Time
6:23
Holloway
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.4
82.5
61.2
Performance Avg
77.8
54
Quality of Victory
63
63
Momentum Score
100
Holloway
Topuria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
11.5
9.2
66%
Strike Accuracy
68%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
89
Head
72
37
Body
29
22
Leg
18
RangeRange
88Distance60
26Clinch21
34Ground38
Holloway
Topuria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
1.9
0%
Takedown Accuracy
22%
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2:50
Control Time (this fight)
6:23
0
Reversals
0
Holloway
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
59%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
54%
3/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Holloway
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Holloway
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
78%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holloway
Topuria
Striking5.8 / 8.7Volume4.9 / 3.8Grappling1.7 / 1.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.0Submission0.9 / 1.1Pressure5.8 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Holloway
Strike Zones
Topuria
Holloway
Attacking
89HEAD37BODY22LEGS148 landed
Absorbing
72HEAD29BODY18LEGS119 absorbed
Topuria
Attacking
72HEAD29BODY18LEGS119 landed
Absorbing
89HEAD37BODY22LEGS148 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (60% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (61% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holloway
RND
Topuria
52/78R145/65
56/82R246/67
40/61R328/39

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0105.1L7.0W6.4L2024-102032-032032-03
WinLossTrend

Topuria · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.5
0106.6W6.5W6.7W6.0W2024-022024-102032-032032-03
WinLossTrend

Holloway · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 6.4
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 532 · 2032-03
W · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 531 · 2032-03
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

Topuria · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 533 · 2032-03
W · Sub · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.7
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 532 · 2032-03
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.5
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.6
KO/TKO · Punches
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Fight Videos

Fight video
Holloway
L
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
Fight video
Holloway
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2032-03
Fight video
Holloway
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-10
Fight video
Topuria
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-03
Fight video
Topuria
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
Fight video
Topuria
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-10
Fight video
Topuria
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2024-02

News & Media

Max Holloway · Ilia Topuria
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