METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 534
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2032
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Sterling
55%
O'Malley
Win Probability
Submission · Rear Naked Choke
Round 1 · 3:12
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:12
def. Sean O'Malley · UFC Fight Night 534
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Malley
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 45% vs O'Malley at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SterlingO'Malley
10
Sig. Strikes
18
4.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
7.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
64%
0:25
Control Time
0:25
Sterling
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sterling
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
65.3
54.2
Performance Avg
59.5
38
Quality of Victory
47
71
Momentum Score
95
Sterling
O'Malley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.1
9.9
61%
Strike Accuracy
66%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
2
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance11
1Clinch2
5Ground5
Sterling
O'Malley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
0.0
0%
Takedown Accuracy
0%
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:25
Control Time (this fight)
0:25
0
Reversals
0
Sterling
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/19 fights
Sterling
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
95
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Sterling
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
O'Malley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
SterlingO'Malley
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedO'Malley
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (50% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯O'Malley targets the head (56% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
O'Malley
10/22R118/28
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sterling · Last 2
W · Sub · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.5Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 534 · 2032-03
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO · Punch
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
O'Malley · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Aljamain SterlingRating 2.5Submission · Rear Naked Choke
UFC Fight Night 534 · 2032-03
W · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.1KO/TKO · Punch
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Fight Videos
Sterling
W
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
Sterling
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2023-08
O'Malley
L
vs TBC
Submission · 2032-03
O'Malley
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2023-08