METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 535
Las Vegas, USA
3 Apr 2032
Welterweight
VS
47%
Edwards
53%
Usman
Win Probability
KO/TKO · Punches
Round 2 · 0:38
CFR 65
★ Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:38
def. Kamaru Usman · UFC Fight Night 535
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 47% vs Usman at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Usman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsUsman
79
Sig. Strikes
43
10.5
Strikes / min (SLpM)
5.7
65%
Strike Accuracy
61%
2:00
Control Time
1:20
1
Knockdowns
0
Edwards
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
64.7
51.1
Performance Avg
71.4
36
Quality of Victory
63
95
Momentum Score
55
Edwards
Usman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.9
7.9
66%
Strike Accuracy
66%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
47
Head
25
19
Body
10
13
Leg
8
RangeRange
43Distance20
12Clinch7
24Ground16
Edwards
Usman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.2
1.2
3%
Takedown Accuracy
11%
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2:00
Control Time (this fight)
1:20
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
82%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
120%
5/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Edwards
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
55
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Edwards
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
31%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Usman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
EdwardsUsman
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
79 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedUsman
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
79 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (59% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the head (58% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Usman
66/100R136/58
13/21R27/12
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 537 · 2032-04
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 536 · 2032-04
W · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.7KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 535 · 2032-04
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Covington · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Usman · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 539 · 2032-05
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.9Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 538 · 2032-04
L · KO · R2
Leon EdwardsRating 3.9KO/TKO · Punches
UFC Fight Night 535 · 2032-04
Fight Videos
Edwards
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2032-04
Edwards
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-04
Edwards
W
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2032-04
Edwards
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2024-07
Usman
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-05
Usman
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-04
Usman
L
vs TBC
KO/TKO · 2032-04