METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 541
Las Vegas, USA
15 May 2032
Women's Bantamweight
VS
50%
Peña
50%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision · Unanimous
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Julianna PeñawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Amanda Nunes · UFC Fight Night 541
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Peña
→
Actual result
Peña wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Peña at 50% vs Nunes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nunes has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PeñaNunes
123
Sig. Strikes
154
8.2
Strikes / min (SLpM)
10.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
64%
1 (20%)
Takedowns
1 (10%)
5:07
Control Time
5:25
Peña
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+67"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Peña
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
—
84.6
—
Performance Avg
85.0
—
Quality of Victory
82
—
Momentum Score
100
Peña
Nunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
10.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
64%
—
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
71
Head
92
30
Body
37
22
Leg
25
RangeRange
58Distance79
21Clinch26
44Ground49
Peña
Nunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.0
20%
Takedown Accuracy
10%
—
Sub Attempts / fight
3.0
—
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
—
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
5:07
Control Time (this fight)
5:25
0
Reversals
0
Peña
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
—
66
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
86%
Fade index (R3÷R1 output)
96%
1/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/27 fights
Peña
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
—
100
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Peña
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
—
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Peña
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
—
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
—
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
—
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
—
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
—
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
—
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PeñaNunes
Strike Zones
Peña
Attacking
123 landedAbsorbing
154 absorbedNunes
Attacking
154 landedAbsorbing
123 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Peña targets the head (58% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (60% of attacks) — Peña absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Peña
RND
Nunes
42/66R151/79
45/77R254/81
36/57R349/79
Peña · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Amanda NunesRating 7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 541 · 2032-05
Nunes · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PeñaRating 7Decision · Unanimous
UFC Fight Night 541 · 2032-05
Fight Videos

Peña
W
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-05

Nunes
L
vs TBC
Decision · 2032-05