METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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Garcia has won three straight by grinding; Rongzhu has been out for a year and has never solved a wrestler.
Rafa Garcia has quietly become one of the more irritating fighters to be booked against at lightweight. He is on three straight wins — a decision over Alexander Hernandez in April, a third-round stoppage of Jared Gordon in September 2025, and a decision over Vinc Pichel before that — and none of them were pretty. His striking score of 2.70 is low and his volume of 6.99 is high, which is the statis…
Garcia (19-4) has won three in a row, beating Alexander Hernandez in April and stopping Jared Gordon in the third round in September 2025. His 72.0 chin rating is the softer of the two and his last defeat was a second-round knockout by Grant Dawson, rated 64.1, in October 2024.
Rongzhu (27-6) has not competed since beating Austin Hubbard in August 2025 — twelve months out. He is 3-3 in the UFC and his three defeats came to Bahamondes by submission, Padilla in the second round, and Vargas on the cards. He beat Kody Steele, rated 63.2, in February 2025.
Garcia's 1.43 submission score against a man with 0.00 who has been submitted before
Rongzhu's twelve-month layoff against a fighter who has had three camps in that time
A 5cm reach edge for Rongzhu in the exchanges Garcia needs to survive to get inside
Garcia's 72.0 chin and the Dawson knockout still in recent memory
Garcia's 0.29 finish rate — he has to win rounds, not end them
If Garcia cannot get it to the mat, his 2.70 striking score is a bad fifteen minutes
Rongzhu is 26 and has been at this level for five years; the ring rust may be less than the calendar suggests
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Rafa Garcia · Rongzhu