UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
57%
McGregor
43%
Holloway
Win Probability
Conor
Conor McGregor
"The Notorious"
226
5'9"74" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 74
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
279
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: McGregor

Conor McGregor returns after five years away to face the man he beat in 2013, but everything has changed

Thirteen years. That's how long it's been since Conor McGregor and Max Holloway first shared the Octagon, back when both were relative unknowns scrapping on a Fight Night card in Boston. McGregor won that night by decision, but neither man could have imagined the journeys that would follow — McGregor becoming the biggest star in combat sports history, Holloway becoming one of the greatest featherw…

McGregor intel

Conor McGregor (22-6) hasn't fought since breaking his leg at UFC 264 in July 2021. His CFR of 85.4 is the highest on the card but reflects historical greatness rather than current form. At 37, ring rust is the biggest question — no fighter has ever returned successfully after this long away. He's moving up to welterweight for this bout.

Holloway intel

Max Holloway (27-9) enters as the -270 betting favourite and is making his welterweight debut. His CFR of 59.4 doesn't reflect his true level — his recent activity includes competitive fights against the best in featherweight and lightweight. His volume and cardio have historically been elite, and at 34 he's in the prime of his experience.

Key angles

McGregor's five-year layoff is the longest for any UFC main eventer returning

Holloway's volume advantage becomes massive if this goes past Round 2

McGregor's left hand at welterweight could be his most powerful ever

Both fighters have concerning chin ratings of 52

The welterweight bout removes McGregor's traditional weight cut advantage

Risk flags

McGregor's power transcends statistics — one clean left hand changes everything

If McGregor has maintained his timing during the layoff, his precision could frustrate Holloway early

McGregor
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
74"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McGregor
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.4
56.2
68.9
Performance Avg
56.8
67
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
63
McGregor
Holloway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
9.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
McGregor
Holloway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGregor
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
McGregor
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
McGregor
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
52%
8
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McGregor
Holloway
Striking9.4 / 5.8Volume3.0 / 4.9Grappling0.5 / 1.7Wrestling0.3 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure7.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
McGregor
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Holloway
McGregor
Attacking
199HEAD31BODY19LEGS249 landed
Absorbing
158HEAD21BODY26LEGS205 absorbed
Holloway
Attacking
850HEAD257BODY85LEGS1192 landed
Absorbing
460HEAD73BODY116LEGS649 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McGregor targets the head (80% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (71% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 77% of strikes there

McGregor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.6W5.0W6.3W5.1W5.1W5.5W2.1L4.5W5.1W3.4L5.0W3.4L5.3L2013-042015-012016-082021-012021-07
WinLossTrend

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

McGregor · Last 5

Upcoming
Max Holloway
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 5.3
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Conor McGregor · Max Holloway
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