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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
57%
McGregor
43%
Holloway
Win Probability
Conor
Conor McGregor
"The Notorious"
22 โ€“ 6
5'9"74" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 74
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
27 โ€“ 9
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis ยท live news & data

Edge: McGregor

Five years of inactivity meets the most evolved version of Max Holloway โ€” McGregor's comeback is a coin flip wrapped in nostalgia.

Thirteen years after their first meeting โ€” a scrappy three-rounder in Boston where a 24-year-old McGregor outpointed a debuting Holloway โ€” the two former featherweight champions collide again, this time at welterweight, on the biggest stage the UFC can build. The elephant in the room is inactivity. McGregor hasn't competed since snapping his tibia against Dustin Poirier at UFC 264 in July 2021. Tโ€ฆ

McGregor intel

McGregor hasn't fought since July 2021 โ€” the longest layoff in modern UFC headliner history. He's 37 and moving up to welterweight. Reports from Dublin suggest he's been training consistently, but sparring footage has been carefully curated. The left hand remains his weapon, but the legs that once set it up may have lost their snap.

Holloway intel

Holloway enters off losses to Topuria and Oliveira in title fights but remains dangerous. Making his welterweight debut โ€” the extra weight should benefit his frame. Has fought eight times during McGregor's absence, keeping his timing razor-sharp. Publicly said he's treating this like a 'normal fight' despite the spectacle.

Key angles

McGregor's five-year layoff is unprecedented for a UFC main event headliner

Holloway's volume striking (4.92) vs McGregor's power striking (9.43) is the defining dynamic

Welterweight debut for Holloway โ€” no weight cut could unlock new durability

McGregor is 1-3 in his last four UFC fights dating back to 2018

If this goes past round 3, Holloway's cardio makes him a massive favourite

Risk flags

McGregor's inactivity makes any statistical projection unreliable โ€” he could be dramatically better or worse than the numbers suggest

Holloway has shown vulnerability to big power shots (Topuria KO), and McGregor still carries legitimate one-punch knockout ability

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McGregor
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height ยท Reach ยท Age ยท Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
74"+
Reach
69"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McGregor
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.4
56.2
68.9
Performance Avg
56.8
67
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
63
McGregor
Holloway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
9.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
McGregor
Holloway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGregor
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
โ€”
Strikes absorbed / min
โ€”
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
McGregor
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance โ€” most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight ๐Ÿ“‰ slide
Current form
Upcoming
L ยท R1
L ยท KO ยท R2
W ยท KO ยท R1
L ยท Sub ยท R4
Last 5
Upcoming
L ยท Dec ยท R5
W ยท Dec ยท R5
L ยท KO ยท R3
W ยท KO ยท R5
McGregor
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
52%
8
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar โ€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0โ€“10

McGregor
Holloway
Striking9.4 / 5.8Volume3.0 / 4.9Grappling0.5 / 1.7Wrestling0.3 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure7.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
McGregor
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Holloway
McGregor
Attacking
199HEAD31BODY19LEGS249 landed
Absorbing
158HEAD21BODY26LEGS205 absorbed
Holloway
Attacking
850HEAD257BODY85LEGS1192 landed
Absorbing
460HEAD73BODY116LEGS649 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
๐ŸŽฏMcGregor targets the head (80% of attacks) โ€” Holloway absorbs 71% of strikes there
๐ŸŽฏHolloway targets the head (71% of attacks) โ€” McGregor absorbs 77% of strikes there

McGregor ยท QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.6W5.0W6.3W5.1W5.1W5.5W2.1L4.5W5.1W3.4L5.0W3.4L5.3L2013-042015-012016-082021-012021-07
WinLossTrend

Holloway ยท QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

McGregor ยท Last 5

Upcoming
Max Holloway
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 ยท 2026-07
L ยท R1
Dustin PoirierRating 5.3
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 ยท 2021-07
L ยท KO ยท R2
Dustin PoirierRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor ยท 2021-01
W ยท KO ยท R1
Donald CerroneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy ยท 2020-01
L ยท Sub ยท R4
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor ยท 2018-10

Holloway ยท Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 ยท 2026-07
L ยท Dec ยท R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 ยท 2026-03
W ยท Dec ยท R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 ยท 2025-07
L ยท KO ยท R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway ยท 2024-10
W ยท KO ยท R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill ยท 2024-04

News & Media

Conor McGregor ยท Max Holloway
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