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UFC Fight Night
Las Vegas, USA
31 Oct 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
65%
Szabova
35%
Lisboa
Win Probability
LS
Lucia Szabova
"Silent Killer"
12 – 0
28 yrs
CFR 83
Tainara
Tainara Lisboa
"Thai Panther"
7 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Szabova

An unbeaten two-division Oktagon champion makes her UFC debut at flyweight against a Brazilian who has lost her last two and not fought in a year.

This bout was announced at bantamweight and is now listed at 125lb, which changes it more than a ten-pound line usually does: Tainara Lisboa has fought her whole UFC career at 135, and she takes this one after roughly a year away. Lucia Szabova is the reason the UFC went looking in Europe rather than on the regional American circuit. The Slovak arrives unbeaten β€” 10-0 by Tapology's count, 12-0 o…

Szabova intel

Szabova is a UFC debutant, so she carries no composite rating, no quality-of-victory score and no chin rating in this database β€” those figures do not exist until she fights here. What is on record elsewhere: unbeaten in ten professional fights, five by submission and three by knockout, simultaneous Oktagon MMA titles at flyweight and bantamweight, and a bantamweight title defence over Lucie Pudilova on 1 August 2026. She is 28 and from Bratislava.

Lisboa intel

Lisboa (7-4, 2-2 UFC) has lost her last two, both by stoppage β€” Melissa Croden by third-round TKO in October 2025 and Luana Santos by second-round submission in May 2025 β€” and has not fought since. She is 35. Composite 43.9, momentum 45.6, quality-of-victory 35.0, chin 66.0, finish rate 0.50. Her UFC wins are a decision over Ravena Oliveira and a submission of Jessica-Rose Clark, both in 2023.

Key angles

The move to Women's Flyweight β€” Lisboa's UFC record is entirely at bantamweight, and this is a cut she has not made here before

Lisboa's twelve months out of competition at 35, off two straight stoppage defeats

Two submission finishers meeting β€” Szabova has five, Lisboa's 5.00 submission score is her best asset

Lisboa's 1.00 striking score against a debutant with three career knockouts

Whether Oktagon-level opposition translates: Szabova's quality-of-victory is unmeasured, not high

Lisboa's 66.0 chin, already broken once

Risk flags

Szabova has no UFC data whatsoever; the pick rests on Lisboa's decline rather than on anything measured about the debutant

Debut nerves and the Apex are a real tax on European signings, and Lisboa has been in the building before

Lisboa's grappling numbers are her strongest and are the one part of her game that does not depend on speed or timing returning after a year off

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Szabova
Lisboa
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
Height
5'7"
Reach
67"
28+
Age
35
β€”
Stance
Orthodox
Szabova
Lisboa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
β€”
43.9
β€”
Performance Avg
41.0
β€”
Quality of Victory
35
β€”
Momentum Score
46
Szabova
Lisboa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
β€”
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
β€”
Style: Pressure
5.0
β€”
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Szabova
Lisboa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
β€”
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
β€”
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
β€”
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Szabova
Lisboa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
β€”
66
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
β€”
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
β€”
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
1/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Szabova
Lisboa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
β€”
46
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Szabova
Lisboa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
β€”
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Szabova
Lisboa
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 5.0Grappling0.0 / 5.2Wrestling0.0 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure0.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
β€”
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
β€”
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
β€”
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
β€”
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
β€”
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
β€”
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Szabova
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Lisboa
Lisboa
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
54HEAD3BODY4LEGS61 absorbed

Szabova Β· Last 1

Upcoming
Tainara Lisboa
UFC Fight Night Β· 2026-10

Lisboa Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Lucia Szabova
UFC Fight Night Β· 2026-10
L Β· KO Β· R3
Melissa Croden
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen Β· 2025-10
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Luana Santos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales Β· 2025-05
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Ravena Oliveira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Jessica-Rose Clark
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Β· 2023-05

News & Media

Lucia Szabova Β· Tainara Lisboa
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