METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
36%
Baghdasaryan
64%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Melsik
Melsik Baghdasaryan
"The Gun"
8 – 3
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 46
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
"The Highlight"
10 – 0
26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 81

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Magomedov

An unbeaten Dagestani power prospect faces a scrappy Armenian gatekeeper.

Murtazali Magomedov is 10-0 and carries the weight of expectation that comes with a Dagestani unbeaten record. The model's limited data gives him a neutral CFR of 81.2 β€” high enough to project confidence β€” and the intangibles suggest a wrestling-heavy approach that should trouble a striker like Baghdasaryan. Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3) has a balanced striking game and enough toughness to make it int…

Baghdasaryan intel

Baghdasaryan is a capable 145-pounder with a striking background and enough grit to cause problems. His chin (66) is below average and could be a target.

Magomedov intel

Magomedov is the unbeaten prospect of the two and arrives with model data suggesting a significant quality advantage. Details are limited but his unbeaten record speaks.

Key angles

Whether Magomedov's wrestling can immediately control Baghdasaryan

Baghdasaryan's counter-striking if Magomedov shoots carelessly

Risk flags

Limited data on Magomedov creates genuine uncertainty β€” upsets are possible

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Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
β€”
45.0
Performance Avg
β€”
35
Quality of Victory
β€”
48
Momentum Score
β€”
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
β€”
50%
Strike Accuracy
β€”
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
β€”
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
β€”
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
β€”
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
β€”
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
β€”
Moderate
Verdict
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
48
β€”
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
β€”
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
β€”
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
β€”
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
β€”
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
β€”
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
β€”
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
β€”
Baghdasaryan
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Magomedov
Baghdasaryan
Attacking
36HEAD27BODY10LEGS73 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD21BODY5LEGS50 absorbed

Baghdasaryan Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W4.5W3.1L4.5W3.1L2021-072021-112023-022023-072025-02
WinLossTrend

Baghdasaryan Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Murtazali Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Β· 2026-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Jean SilvaRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song Β· 2025-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Tucker LutzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Β· 2023-07
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Josh CulibaoRating 3.1
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Β· 2023-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Bruno SouzaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Β· 2021-11

Magomedov Β· Last 1

Upcoming
Melsik Baghdasaryan
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Β· 2026-06

News & Media

Melsik Baghdasaryan Β· Murtazali Magomedov
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