UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
36%
Baghdasaryan
64%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Melsik
Melsik Baghdasaryan
"The Gun"
8 – 3
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 46
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
"The Highlight"
10 – 0
26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 81

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Magomedov

Melsik Baghdasaryan and Murtazali Magomedov clash on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card

Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3) meets Murtazali Magomedov (10-0) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card. Both fighters bring well-rounded skillsets that should produce a technically interesting contest. The CFR gap tells a clear story — Murtazali Magomedov's rating significantly outpaces Melsik Baghdasaryan's, suggesting a meaningful talent disparity…

Baghdasaryan intel

Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3) carries a CFR of 45.5 with a chin rating of 66 and momentum score of 48. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Magomedov intel

Murtazali Magomedov (10-0) carries a CFR of 81.2 with a chin rating of 70 and momentum score of 50. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Key angles

Murtazali Magomedov's superior CFR rating indicates an overall talent advantage

The low confidence rating suggests a close fight

The model gives Murtazali Magomedov a 67.0% win probability

Risk flags

An off night or early adversity could shift the dynamic in Melsik Baghdasaryan's favour

Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
—
45.0
Performance Avg
—
35
Quality of Victory
—
48
Momentum Score
—
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
—
50%
Strike Accuracy
—
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
—
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
—
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
—
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
—
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
—
Moderate
Verdict
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
—
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
—
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
—
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
—
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
—
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
—
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
—
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
—
Baghdasaryan
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Magomedov
Baghdasaryan
Attacking
36HEAD27BODY10LEGS73 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD21BODY5LEGS50 absorbed

Baghdasaryan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W4.5W3.1L4.5W3.1L2021-072021-112023-022023-072025-02
WinLossTrend

Baghdasaryan · Last 5

Upcoming
Murtazali Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Jean SilvaRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Josh CulibaoRating 3.1
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SouzaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

Magomedov · Last 1

Upcoming
Melsik Baghdasaryan
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

News & Media

Melsik Baghdasaryan · Murtazali Magomedov
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