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UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Los Angeles, USA
19 Sept 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Menifield
61%
Baraniewski
Win Probability
Alonzo
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
176
6'0"76" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Iwo
Iwo Baraniewski
"Rudy"
80
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak27 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 83
Menifield
Alonzo
Menifield
To Win
2.97
39/20
Best · Betclic (FR)
+5.3% EDGE
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8 books quoted
18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Baraniewski

A 38-year-old with a chin rating of eight faces an unbeaten Pole whose three UFC fights have lasted a combined three minutes and twenty-two seconds.

Light heavyweight is the division where durability numbers stop being an abstraction, and this fight puts the two extremes of the card in the same cage. Iwo Baraniewski's chin rating is 100.0. Alonzo Menifield's is 8.0. Baraniewski is 8-0 and has three recorded UFC fights, all of which ended in the first round: Junior Tafa in 85 seconds in June, Austen Lane in 28 seconds in March, Ibo Aslan in 89…

Menifield intel

Menifield (17-6-1) knocked out Zhang Mingyang in the first round in May 2026, having been knocked out himself by Volkan Oezdemir in 87 seconds in November 2025 and by Azamat Murzakanov before that. At 38, his 8.0 chin rating is the third-lowest on the card, behind only Tai Tuivasa's 0.0 and Renato Moicano's 6.0.

Baraniewski intel

Baraniewski (8-0) has three recorded UFC fights and all three ended in the first round — Junior Tafa, Austen Lane in 28 seconds, and Ibo Aslan. A 1.00 finish rate, a 100.0 chin rating and a 82.8 composite, all built on a total of three and a half minutes of cage time at this level.

Key angles

An 8.0 chin rating against a 10.0 pressure rating in the first two minutes

Seven and a half centimetres of reach for Menifield, his one physical asset

Baraniewski's entire UFC record is three minutes and twenty-two seconds long

Menifield's 4.2 volume against 2.0 — if this reaches round three the picture changes

Nobody has tested Baraniewski's 0.0 grappling scores because nobody has stayed upright

Risk flags

Menifield knocked out Zhang Mingyang in the first round four months ago; he ends fights too

Baraniewski's 82.8 composite rests on three short fights and could be badly overstated against a durable, experienced opponent

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Menifield
Baraniewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menifield
Baraniewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
82.8
53.3
Performance Avg
76.0
46
Quality of Victory
60
75
Momentum Score
100
Menifield
Baraniewski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
5.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
10.0
4.2
Style: Volume
2.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menifield
Baraniewski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menifield
Baraniewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Menifield
Baraniewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Menifield
Baraniewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Menifield
Baraniewski
Striking5.8 / 10.0Volume4.2 / 2.0Grappling2.3 / 0.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.0Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 10.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Menifield
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Baraniewski
Menifield
Attacking
216HEAD25BODY18LEGS259 landed
Absorbing
133HEAD79BODY28LEGS240 absorbed
Baraniewski
Attacking
29HEAD4BODY5LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Menifield targets the head (83% of attacks) — Baraniewski absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Baraniewski targets the head (76% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 55% of strikes there

Menifield · Last 5

Upcoming
Iwo Baraniewski
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Zhang Mingyang
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Volkan Oezdemir
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Oumar Sy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Julius Walker
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Baraniewski · Last 4

Upcoming
Alonzo Menifield
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Junior Tafa
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Austen Lane
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Ibo Aslan
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

News & Media

Alonzo Menifield · Iwo Baraniewski
← Back to fights
Baraniewski
Iwo
Baraniewski
To Win
1.44
7/16
Best · Caesars
-8.4% EDGE
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8 books quoted
18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG
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