Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado

Glendale, USA

12 Sept 2026

Welterweight

53%

Bahamondes

47%

Salikhov

Win Probability

Ignacio Bahamondes

"La Jaula"

17 – 7

6'3"75" reachOrthodox29 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter

CFR 60

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"

22 – 6

Striker42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"

CFR 55

Ignacio

Bahamondes

7 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Bahamondes

A 42-year-old kickboxer with a chin rating of 20.0 gives up ten centimetres of height to a man who has finished each of his last three wins.

Muslim Salikhov has spent a fifteen-year career making people look silly with spinning attacks, and at 42 the trade has become symmetrical: he still ends fights early, and fights still end early on him. Four of his last five went one round or less — two knockouts he scored, two he suffered, the most recent when Uros Medic stopped him in 63 seconds in November 2025. His chin rating of 20.0 is the …

Bahamondes intel

Bahamondes (17-7) has lost his last two on the cards — to Tofiq Musayev in March and Rafael Fiziev in June 2025 — after three straight first-round finishes, including a submission of Jalin Turner in March 2025. At 29 he stands 190.5cm with matching reach, and his 0.83 finish rate is the highest in this bout.

Salikhov intel

Salikhov (22-6) was knocked out by Uros Medic in 63 seconds in November 2025, his only fight since a first-round knockout of Carlos Leal in July 2025. At 42 he has a 20.0 chin rating and two first-round knockout defeats in his last five, alongside three wins in that same span.

Key angles

A 20.0 chin rating at 42 against a fighter with a 0.83 finish rate

Ten centimetres of height and thirteen of reach for Bahamondes

Bahamondes' 2.53 volume — the reason Fiziev and Musayev beat him on the cards

Salikhov's 3.33-point submission deficit and 0.00 rating: he has no answer if this hits the floor

Salikhov's 82.5 momentum edges Bahamondes' 64.0, and it comes off a 63-second knockout defeat

Risk flags

Salikhov's 6.84 striking rating is the highest here, and he has scored first-round knockouts in two of his last three wins

If Bahamondes fights at 2.53 volume for fifteen minutes again, he loses another close decision regardless of the physical edges

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Bahamondes

Salikhov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"+

Height

5'11"

75"+

Reach

70"

29+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.3

54.5

53.4

Performance Avg

51.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

6.2

/ 10

6.8

/ 10

7.6

Style: Pressure

5.8

2.5

Style: Volume

4.8

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

3.1

/ 10

1.1

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/24 fights

Chin rating based on

15/28 fights

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

83%

56%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bahamondes

Salikhov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.8

3.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.1

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.8

2.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Bahamondes

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Salikhov

Bahamondes

Attacking

249 landed

Absorbing

180 absorbed

Salikhov

Attacking

175 landed

Absorbing

194 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Bahamondes targets the head (59% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 56% of strikes there

🎯Salikhov targets the head (51% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 62% of strikes there

Bahamondes · Last 5

Upcoming

Muslim Salikhov

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

Tofiq Musayev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

L · Dec · R3

Rafael Fiziev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

W · Sub · R1

Jalin Turner

Submission

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

W · KO · R1

Manuel Torres

KO/TKO

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Salikhov · Last 5

Upcoming

Ignacio Bahamondes

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

L · KO · R1

Uros Medic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Carlos Leal

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

W · KO · R1

Song Kenan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

W · Dec · R3

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Ignacio Bahamondes · Muslim Salikhov

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Muslim

Salikhov

7 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG