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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
65%
Riley
35%
III
Win Probability
Luke
Luke Riley
130
5'9"69" reachOrthodox27 yrs2-fight win streakVolume Striker
CFR 71
Kai
Kai Kamaka III
"Da Fighting Hawaiian"
187
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Riley

Unbeaten Liverpool striker Riley should prove too sharp and relentless for the methodical Kamaka in a featherweight prelim with prospect showcase potential.

Luke Riley is one of the featherweight division's most exciting unbeaten prospects. The Liverpool fighter carries a perfect 13-0 record with nine knockouts, and his front-foot pressure style makes him appointment viewing. His striking rating (7.0) and pressure score (6.5) suggest a fighter who walks forward, throws with intent, and doesn't let opponents breathe. Kamaka III is the grizzled veteran…

Riley intel

Riley is 13-0 with nine knockouts, making his second UFC appearance of 2026. The Liverpool man fights with relentless forward pressure and carries legitimate finishing power. His 100.0 chin rating means he's never been hurt — a remarkable stat for a fighter who willingly walks into exchanges.

III intel

Kamaka III is 18-7-1, coming off a split-decision win over Dakota Hope in April. The 33-year-old Hawaiian is tough and durable (76.0 chin) but lacks the stopping power to trouble elite strikers. His decision-heavy resume (0.0 finish rate in recent bouts) suggests he'll be there at the end but unlikely to turn the tide.

Key angles

Riley's perfect 13-0 record and 100.0 chin rating make him the clear favourite

Striking mismatch — Riley's 7.0 vs Kamaka's 1.0 is one of the biggest gaps on the card

Kamaka's volume (9.0) will keep him busy but not dangerous

Showcase fight for Riley on the International Fight Week card

Riley's Liverpool connection adds to the Irish/British energy on a McGregor card

Risk flags

Kamaka's durability (76.0 chin) and high volume mean he won't go quietly — Riley may need to be patient rather than hunting a highlight-reel finish

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Riley
III
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
27+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riley
III
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.7
37.8
64.0
Performance Avg
35.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
50
Riley
III
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
64%
Strike Accuracy
61%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Riley
III
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
Riley
III
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Riley
III
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Riley
III
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Riley
III
Striking7.0 / 1.0Volume6.0 / 9.0Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Riley
Strike Zones
Career patterns
III
Riley
Attacking
31HEAD12BODY0LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
III
Attacking
56HEAD56BODY7LEGS119 landed
Absorbing
105HEAD36BODY8LEGS149 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Riley targets the head (72% of attacks) — III absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯III targets the head (47% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 75% of strikes there

Riley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0106.2W5.6W2025-112026-03
WinLossTrend

III · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W3.2L5.5L4.5W2020-082020-112021-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Riley · Last 3

Upcoming
Kai Kamaka III
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael Aswell Jr.Rating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Bogdan GradRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

III · Last 5

Upcoming
Luke Riley
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Dakota HopeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
Upcoming
Danny Chavez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11

News & Media

Luke Riley · Kai Kamaka III
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