METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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A flyweight returning after two and a half years away meets a Canadian whose 94 chin rating is bettered only by Melissa Croden’s 98 on this card.
Katlyn Cerminara has not fought since March 2024, when Maycee Barber outpointed her at UFC 299. That is thirty-one months, and it sits on top of a last five that contains no finish in either direction — five decisions, three of them wins over Amanda Ribas, Jennifer Maia and Viviane Araujo, all between 2021 and 2022. Her finish rate is 0.0, which for a fighter with eighteen professional wins is a r…
Horth (9-3) lost a decision to JJ Aldrich in April but knocked out Tereza Bleda in the first round in December 2025 and holds decision wins over Vanessa Demopoulos and Ivana Petrovic. At 36 with seven recorded UFC fights, her 94.0 chin rating is second only to Melissa Croden’s 98.0 on this card and she has not been stopped in any of them.
Cerminara (18-6) has not competed since a decision loss to Maycee Barber in March 2024 — thirty-one months out. Her last five contains no finishes at all and a 0.0 finish rate, alongside wins over Amanda Ribas, Jennifer Maia and Viviane Araujo dating back to 2021-22. At 37, her 25.0 quality-of-victory is the lowest here bar Mandel Nallo’s 0.0.
Thirty-one months out of competition for Cerminara at 37
A 9.29 volume score against a 1.29 striking score — the purest output-without-power profile in the pack
Horth's 94.0 chin rating, second only to Melissa Croden's 98.0, in a fight likely to go fifteen minutes
Cerminara's 0.0 finish rate: no mechanism to steal a round she is losing
Five centimetres of reach for Cerminara and whether Horth's 3.46 pressure gets her past it
Cerminara has seventeen recorded UFC fights to Horth's seven and has won this exact kind of decision repeatedly
Horth's 0.25 finish rate means she may not be able to close the fight out even if she is ahead
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10