METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
42%
Rosa
58%
Santos
Win Probability
Karol
Karol Rosa
197
5'5"67" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Luana
Luana Santos
102
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 69

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Santos

Brazil's Rosa defends turf against a rising compatriot with better recent form.

Luana Santos arrives at perfect momentum and a CFR that is 20 points ahead of Rosa. Her 10-2 record and 60% finish rate show a finisher who has been getting better with each fight, while Rosa (19-7) has been fighting at this level for years without threatening the title picture. This matchup looks like a potential coming-out party for Santos against a familiar name.

Rosa intel

Rosa is experienced and durable (chin 92) but her CFR and 0% finish rate suggest she fights for decisions rather than finishes. She will need to outpoint Santos.

Santos intel

Santos at 100 momentum is arriving at the peak of her powers. Her balanced striking (3.67) and grappling (4.16) create multiple threats.

Key angles

Santos's mixed game vs Rosa's survival instincts

Whether Santos can secure early damage to disrupt Rosa's point-fighting rhythm

Risk flags

Rosa's experience and championship-level composure could frustrate Santos's finishing attempts

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Rosa
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"
Reach
67"
31
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
68.7
41.7
Performance Avg
59.0
25
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
100
Rosa
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
57%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Rosa
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Rosa
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Rosa
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Santos
Striking1.3 / 3.7Volume9.3 / 4.9Grappling2.4 / 4.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure2.0 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Rosa
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Santos
Rosa
Attacking
244HEAD57BODY96LEGS397 landed
Absorbing
159HEAD68BODY65LEGS292 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
64HEAD20BODY5LEGS89 landed
Absorbing
51HEAD19BODY8LEGS78 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (61% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (72% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 54% of strikes there

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.5W5.3W6.7L5.7W5.6W2023-082023-122024-072024-082025-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Santos · Last 5

Upcoming
Karol Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
Tainara LisboaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Karol Rosa · Luana Santos
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