UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
51%
Royval
49%
Kavanagh
Win Probability
Brandon
Brandon Royval
"Raw Dawg"
17 – 9
5'9"68" reachSouthpaw33 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Lone'er
Lone'er Kavanagh
10 – 1
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Royval

Brandon Royval and Lone'er Kavanagh clash on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card

Brandon Royval (17-9) meets Lone'er Kavanagh (10-1) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card. Both fighters bring well-rounded skillsets that should produce a technically interesting contest. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. The model gives Lone'er Kavanagh a 66.9% edge, but the medium-…

Royval intel

Brandon Royval (17-9) carries a CFR of 50.3 with a chin rating of 40 and momentum score of 62. Recent results have been mixed.

Kavanagh intel

Lone'er Kavanagh (10-1) carries a CFR of 49.0 with a chin rating of 78 and momentum score of 78. Recent results have been mixed.

Key angles

Brandon Royval's chin vulnerability could be exploited

The medium confidence rating suggests a predictable outcome

The model gives Lone'er Kavanagh a 66.9% win probability

Risk flags

An off night or early adversity could shift the dynamic in Brandon Royval's favour

Royval
Kavanagh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
33
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Royval
Kavanagh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
49.0
48.2
Performance Avg
45.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
62
Momentum Score
78
Royval
Kavanagh
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Royval
Kavanagh
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
Royval
Kavanagh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Royval
Kavanagh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
62
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Royval
Kavanagh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Royval
Kavanagh
Striking2.6 / 1.5Volume4.6 / 9.5Grappling4.5 / 2.4Wrestling3.1 / 1.7Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Royval
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Kavanagh
Royval
Attacking
260HEAD39BODY21LEGS320 landed
Absorbing
158HEAD38BODY45LEGS241 absorbed
Kavanagh
Attacking
40HEAD18BODY7LEGS65 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD13BODY19LEGS63 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Royval targets the head (81% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (62% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 66% of strikes there

Royval · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.3W6.1W2.4L4.0L4.5W5.2W5.2W6.8L5.4W6.2W7.1L3.2L2020-052021-082023-042024-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Kavanagh · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.4W4.5W3.7L5.4W2024-112025-032025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Royval · Last 5

Upcoming
Lone'er Kavanagh
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Kavanagh · Last 5

Upcoming
Brandon Royval
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Brandon Royval · Lone'er Kavanagh
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