METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 330
Philadelphia, USA
15 Aug 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Dern
50%
Robertson
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dern
This is a genuine toss-up — Dern at 50% vs Robertson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Robertson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Dern
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
63"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dern
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
59.1
51.1
Performance Avg
55.0
39
Quality of Victory
45
94
Momentum Score
74
Dern
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Dern
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
Dern
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Dern
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
74
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Dern
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
7
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dern
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
4.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
DernRobertson
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Dern
Attacking
263 landedAbsorbing
263 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
240 landedAbsorbing
227 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (81% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (76% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 58% of strikes there
Dern · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Dern · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Virna JandirobaRating 5.2Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01