UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
47%
Whittaker
53%
Krylov
Win Probability
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
279
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
3111
Pressure Fighter34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Krylov

Former middleweight champion Robert Whittaker makes a bold light heavyweight debut against submission specialist Nikita Krylov

Robert Whittaker's move to light heavyweight is either the reinvention of a former champion or the last roll of the dice for a fighter whose middleweight ceiling has been definitively established. After losses to Reinier de Ridder and Khamzat Chimaev, Whittaker has decided that carrying more weight — rather than cutting to 185 — will extend his career. The matchup with Nikita Krylov is fascinatin…

Whittaker intel

Robert Whittaker (27-9) is making his light heavyweight debut after consecutive losses to de Ridder and Chimaev at middleweight. At 35, 'The Reaper' believes the move up will revitalise his career. His chin rating of 16 is deeply concerning.

Krylov intel

Nikita Krylov (31-11) is a dangerous finisher with 83.3% finish rate and a strong submission game (4.17 sub score). His chin rating of 0 is the lowest possible, but his momentum of 100 suggests recent strong form.

Key angles

Both fighters have near-zero chin ratings — first clean shot likely ends it

Whittaker's light heavyweight debut is a complete unknown

Krylov's submission game is the most dangerous aspect of this fight

Whittaker's technical striking gives him the best path to victory

Two consecutive losses for Whittaker raises questions about his confidence

Risk flags

Whittaker's technical ability could let him pick Krylov apart at range

If Whittaker's power translates at 205, Krylov's chin of 0 makes him extremely vulnerable

Whittaker
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
59.8
56.0
Performance Avg
52.7
46
Quality of Victory
50
71
Momentum Score
100
Whittaker
Krylov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Whittaker
Krylov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
Whittaker
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/42 fights
Whittaker
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Whittaker
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Krylov
Striking5.0 / 5.3Volume6.6 / 2.5Grappling1.6 / 3.7Wrestling1.1 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 4.2Pressure4.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Krylov
Whittaker
Attacking
371HEAD41BODY62LEGS474 landed
Absorbing
241HEAD68BODY58LEGS367 absorbed
Krylov
Attacking
201HEAD67BODY44LEGS312 landed
Absorbing
129HEAD16BODY10LEGS155 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (78% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (64% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 66% of strikes there

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Nikita Krylov
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