METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
68%
Rodriguez
32%
Schnell
Win Probability
Imanol
Imanol Rodriguez
"Himan"
70
5'4"64" reachOrthodox26 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 81
Matt
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
1710
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 38
Rodriguez
Imanol
Rodriguez
To Win
1.08
1/13
Best · BetOnline.ag
-24.6% EDGE
Bet at Dafabet →
2 books quoted
18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Rodriguez

An undefeated Spanish knockout machine meets a UFC veteran with a zero chin rating — this has first-round stoppage written all over it.

Matt Schnell is 36, has taken serious punishment across his UFC tenure, and our model gives him a 0.0 chin rating — the absolute floor of our durability scale. That is not a small red flag. That is a full-page warning. Imanol Rodriguez is 7-0, 26 years old, has finished every professional opponent, and carries a 10.0 striking rating alongside a 10.0 pressure rating from our model. He is relentles…

Rodriguez intel

Rodriguez is 7-0 with seven finishes and has been waiting for a UFC opportunity to showcase his skills. His striking-pressure combination is among the most potent in the flyweight division and he is fully healthy entering this fight.

Schnell intel

Schnell is 36 and has absorbed significant damage across his UFC career. His chin ratings reflect genuine vulnerability to knockout, and his recent performances have shown both his submission creativity and his fragility against crisp strikers. He is looking for a momentum win but faces a severe physical disadvantage.

Key angles

Schnell must get the fight to the mat quickly or Rodriguez's pressure will overwhelm him on the feet

Rodriguez's 100% finish rate against opponents who have never faced this level of striking volume

Age and durability — Schnell at 36 with documented chin issues is the model's prototypical high-risk profile

Risk flags

Schnell's submission game could produce a flash finish from desperate bottom position

Rodriguez's lack of any grappling metric means a single takedown changes the fight's dynamics completely

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Rodriguez
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+70"
26+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.7
38.1
73.0
Performance Avg
40.7
55
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
45
Rodriguez
Schnell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
41%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Rodriguez
Schnell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
Rodriguez
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
2/7 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Rodriguez
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Rodriguez
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Schnell
Striking10.0 / 0.9Volume2.0 / 5.5Grappling0.0 / 4.8Wrestling0.0 / 3.4Submission0.0 / 4.3Pressure10.0 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Schnell
Rodriguez
Attacking
26HEAD6BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Schnell
Attacking
160HEAD31BODY28LEGS219 landed
Absorbing
201HEAD33BODY39LEGS273 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (76% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (73% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 70% of strikes there

Schnell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.7L1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.7W2.3L5.9W2.9L3.3L2.9L5.0W3.5L2016-122019-032022-052024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 2

Upcoming
Matt Schnell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Kevin BorjasRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

Schnell · Last 5

Upcoming
Imanol Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Imanol Rodriguez · Matt Schnell
← Back to fights
Schnell
Matt
Schnell
To Win
10.10
91/10
Best · 1xBet
+22.1% EDGE
Bet at Dafabet →
2 books quoted
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