METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
56%
Baraniewski
44%
Elekana
Win Probability
Iwo
Iwo Baraniewski
"Rudy"
8 – 0
6'0"73" reachOrthodox27 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Billy
Billy Elekana
"Son of Susie"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Baraniewski

The undefeated Polish finisher who knocked someone out in 28 seconds faces his first serious test at light heavyweight.

Iwo Baraniewski is a perfect 8-0 and has not yet seen a third round as a professional. The Polish light heavyweight finished Austen Lane in 28 seconds on the UFC London card in March β€” not a gift finish, not a sloppy opponent, but a calculated first-punch obliteration of a UFC veteran. He is young (27), tall, and fights with a pressure-intensity that our model captures at 10.0 out of 10 on the str…

Baraniewski intel

Baraniewski prepared for Elekana β€” a grappler/submission specialist β€” and now pivots to a different challenge in Tafa, a natural heavyweight striker. The short-notice adjustment tests his camp's tactical flexibility. No injury news; he appears in excellent physical condition.

Elekana intel

Tafa steps in on short notice replacing Elekana, returning to a weight class where he was previously submitted. His power is his primary asset and he will need to land something significant early to derail the Baraniewski freight train.

Key angles

Can Tafa land his power shot before Baraniewski's tempo and output overwhelm him?

Baraniewski's zero grappling game means if Tafa can clinch and rough him up, the dynamic shifts

Short-notice replacement dynamics β€” Tafa may be underprepared for Baraniewski's specific style

Baraniewski's ceiling test β€” 28-second finishes against UFC vets are impressive, but heavyweight-sized power is different

Risk flags

Tafa is a natural heavyweight and a single clean shot could change the fight instantly

Baraniewski has never been tested deep into a fight β€” his chin and gas tank remain genuinely unknown quantities

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Baraniewski
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
27+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Baraniewski
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
66.3
76.0
Performance Avg
55.7
60
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
98
Baraniewski
Elekana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
71%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Baraniewski
Elekana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baraniewski
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
3/8 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Baraniewski
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
98
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
3-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Upcoming
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Baraniewski
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baraniewski
Elekana
Striking10.0 / 1.5Volume2.0 / 4.2Grappling0.0 / 6.1Wrestling0.0 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure10.0 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Baraniewski
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Elekana
Baraniewski
Attacking
27HEAD3BODY2LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Elekana
Attacking
45HEAD10BODY4LEGS59 landed
Absorbing
44HEAD19BODY10LEGS73 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baraniewski targets the head (84% of attacks) β€” Elekana absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (76% of attacks) β€” Baraniewski absorbs 97% of strikes there

Baraniewski Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.9W5.0W2025-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Elekana Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.8L5.4W5.0W6.1W2025-012025-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

Baraniewski Β· Last 3

Upcoming
Billy Elekana
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim Β· 2026-06
W Β· KO Β· R1
Austen LaneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Β· 2026-03
W Β· KO Β· R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12

Elekana Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Iwo Baraniewski
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim Β· 2026-06
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 Β· 2026-01
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama Β· 2025-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Ibo AslanRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder Β· 2025-07
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Β· 2025-01

News & Media

Iwo Baraniewski Β· Billy Elekana
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