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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Edmonton, Canada
17 Oct 2026
Welterweight
VS
45%
Buckley
55%
Malott
Win Probability
Joaquin
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
218
5'10"76" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 58
Mike
Mike Malott
"Proper"
142
Pressure Fighter4-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Malott

A Canadian on the best run of his career gets a hometown main event against a knockout artist whose chin rating has collapsed to 28.

Edmonton gets a main event with a genuinely awkward premise: the local man is the better-rated fighter, and the visiting headliner is the one with the reputation. Mike Malott's 70.1 composite rating is twelve points clear of Joaquin Buckley's 58.0, and it has been earned in the eight UFC fights the database has recorded rather than assumed from highlight reels. Malott has won four in a row. He kn…

Buckley intel

Buckley (21-8) has lost two in a row, both on the cards, to Sean Brady in May and Kamaru Usman in June 2025. Before that he beat Colby Covington and stopped Stephen Thompson in the third round in October 2024, which is why his 41.1 quality-of-victory sits so high. At 32 the concern is not his form but his 28.0 chin rating.

Malott intel

Malott (14-2-1) has won four straight, most recently a third-round knockout of Gilbert Burns in April, and holds the higher composite at 70.1. His 0.71 finish rate is the best on this fight, and his only recent loss came to Neil Magny in January 2024. At 34 he is the older man by two years.

Key angles

Buckley's 28.0 chin rating against a fighter with a 7.62 pressure score and a 0.71 finish rate

Seven and a half centimetres of reach for Buckley, 193.0cm to 185.4cm, and whether he can hold that distance

Buckley's 0.0 submission and 0.45 wrestling scores mean there is no floor to retreat to

Malott's third-round knockout of Gilbert Burns in April as the best single result on either record

Buckley's 100.0 momentum score on two straight defeats — flattery from the quality of Brady and Usman

Risk flags

Buckley's 6.75 striking is the higher figure and one clean southpaw left ends this regardless of the ratings

Malott's 78.0 chin is solid but he was knocked out by Neil Magny in 2024, so the door is not closed

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Buckley
Malott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
73"
32+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Buckley
Malott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.0
70.1
50.6
Performance Avg
63.2
41
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
97
Buckley
Malott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
6.8
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.6
3.5
Style: Volume
4.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buckley
Malott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buckley
Malott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/16 fights
Buckley
Malott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Buckley
Malott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
71%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buckley
Malott
Striking6.8 / 6.0Volume3.5 / 4.0Grappling0.7 / 3.0Wrestling0.5 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.9Pressure5.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Buckley
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Malott
Buckley
Attacking
243HEAD68BODY14LEGS325 landed
Absorbing
152HEAD33BODY14LEGS199 absorbed
Malott
Attacking
75HEAD21BODY10LEGS106 landed
Absorbing
74HEAD10BODY12LEGS96 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buckley targets the head (75% of attacks) — Malott absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Malott targets the head (71% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 76% of strikes there

Buckley · Last 5

Upcoming
Mike Malott
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean Brady
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru Usman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby Covington
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen Thompson
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

Malott · Last 5

Upcoming
Joaquin Buckley
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
W · KO · R3
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Kevin Holland
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Charles Radtke
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevin Giles
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

News & Media

Joaquin Buckley · Mike Malott
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