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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
56%
Amil
44%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Hyder
Hyder Amil
"The Hurricane"
112
5'9"70" reachSwitch36 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 58
Christian
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
124
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Amil

A striker with a 67% finish rate faces a durable grappler who can slow things down.

Hyder Amil is a pure striker — style score of 7.87 makes him one of the more offensively minded 135-pounders on the roster, and a 67% finish rate backs that up. Rodriguez is the opposite: a grappling-and-wrestling fighter (3.52/2.46) who takes Amil into uncomfortable territory if he can drag the fight to the mat. This is a classic striker-vs-grappler matchup where the first exchange likely sets th…

Amil intel

Amil is in good form (momentum 68.5) with knockout power that ends fights quickly when he lands clean. His vulnerability is the takedown.

Rodriguez intel

Rodriguez is durable (chin 82) and his grappling tools are his primary weapon. He has managed strikers before but not at this finishing rate.

Key angles

Can Rodriguez take Amil down before the power becomes a factor?

Amil's accuracy off the back foot if Rodriguez shoots

Risk flags

If Rodriguez gets consistent takedowns, Amil's striking edge evaporates

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Amil
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
36
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Amil
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
46.2
52.0
Performance Avg
40.7
47
Quality of Victory
31
69
Momentum Score
64
Amil
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Amil
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
Amil
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Amil
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Amil
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Amil
Rodriguez
Striking7.9 / 1.1Volume3.9 / 7.5Grappling0.8 / 3.5Wrestling0.6 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure6.5 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Amil
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Rodriguez
Amil
Attacking
94HEAD28BODY17LEGS139 landed
Absorbing
50HEAD17BODY4LEGS71 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
190HEAD27BODY16LEGS233 landed
Absorbing
105HEAD27BODY17LEGS149 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Amil targets the head (68% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (82% of attacks) — Amil absorbs 70% of strikes there

Amil · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.2W6.1W5.5W3.0L6.0L2024-022024-072025-032025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.0W6.1W5.5W5.8W1.7L5.9W6.7L6.2L2022-022023-102025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Amil · Last 5

Upcoming
Christian Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
JeongYeong LeeRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

Rodriguez · Last 5

Upcoming
Hyder Amil
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Hyder Amil · Christian Rodriguez
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