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UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Demopoulos
54%
Jauregui
Win Probability
Vanessa
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
118
5'2"59" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Yazmin
Yazmin Jauregui
112
Well-Rounded27 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Jauregui

Demopoulos has lost three straight and gives away twelve centimetres of reach; Jauregui hasn't fought in two years and was knocked out in twenty seconds the last time someone touched her clean.

Vanessa Demopoulos is 37, has lost her last three, and is 5-5 in recorded fights. Yazmin Jauregui is 27, has not competed since September 2024, and is 3-2. Neither is arriving in good shape, and the fight is interesting mostly because their weaknesses are so precisely opposite. Jauregui is the striker, and it is not close: a 4.53 striking score against Demopoulos's 1.00, with 4.13 pressure agains…

Demopoulos intel

Demopoulos (11-8) has lost three in a row — Jamey-Lyn Horth in June 2025, Talita Alencar in April 2025, and Jaqueline Amorim by first-round submission in September 2024. At 149.9cm her reach is among the shortest in the division and her 1.00 striking score reflects it.

Jauregui intel

Jauregui (11-2) has not fought since being submitted by Ketlen Souza in the first round in September 2024 — two years out. Her best win is a decision over Iasmin Lucindo, rated 53.8, in August 2022, and Denise Gomes knocked her out in twenty seconds in July 2023.

Key angles

A 12.7cm reach gap at strawweight, which is close to a division-record disparity

Jauregui's 0.00 submission score against a fighter who scores 2.00 — and her own last fight was a submission loss

Two years out of competition for Jauregui

Demopoulos's three-fight losing run at 37

Jauregui's 66.0 chin and the twenty-second Gomes knockout still on the record

Risk flags

Ring rust in a fight decided by distance management is a heavier cost than the ratings show

Demopoulos cannot hurt Jauregui standing, so if the takedowns fail she has no second plan

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Demopoulos
Jauregui
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
59"
Reach
+64"
37
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Demopoulos
Jauregui
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.0
45.5
38.5
Performance Avg
45.0
31
Quality of Victory
35
30
Momentum Score
48
Demopoulos
Jauregui
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
4.1
7.4
Style: Volume
6.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Demopoulos
Jauregui
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Demopoulos
Jauregui
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Demopoulos
Jauregui
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
48
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Demopoulos
Jauregui
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Demopoulos
Jauregui
Striking1.0 / 4.5Volume7.4 / 6.5Grappling3.5 / 1.6Wrestling2.5 / 1.1Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Demopoulos
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Jauregui
Demopoulos
Attacking
95HEAD35BODY8LEGS138 landed
Absorbing
207HEAD43BODY22LEGS272 absorbed
Jauregui
Attacking
91HEAD19BODY24LEGS134 landed
Absorbing
60HEAD19BODY17LEGS96 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Demopoulos targets the head (69% of attacks) — Jauregui absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Jauregui targets the head (68% of attacks) — Demopoulos absorbs 76% of strikes there

Demopoulos · Last 5

Upcoming
Yazmin Jauregui
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Talita Alencar
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Jaqueline Amorim
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Emily Ducote
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

Jauregui · Last 5

Upcoming
Vanessa Demopoulos
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Sub · R1
Ketlen Souza
Submission
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Sam Hughes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Denise Gomes
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Istela Nunes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

News & Media

Vanessa Demopoulos · Yazmin Jauregui
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