METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 330
Philadelphia, USA
15 Aug 2026
Lightweight
VS
47%
Turner
53%
Fernandes
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fernandes
This is a genuine toss-up — Turner at 47% vs Fernandes at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Turner throws more volume but Fernandes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
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Turner
Fernandes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
77"+
Reach
73"
31
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Turner
Fernandes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
67.2
56.4
Performance Avg
59.0
56
Quality of Victory
48
65
Momentum Score
87
Turner
Fernandes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
2.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
57%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Turner
Fernandes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Turner
Fernandes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Turner
Fernandes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
87
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Turner
Fernandes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turner
Fernandes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
TurnerFernandes
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Turner
Attacking
287 landedAbsorbing
208 absorbedFernandes
Attacking
91 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (74% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Fernandes targets the head (49% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 63% of strikes there
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Fernandes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Fernandes · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Harry HardwickRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 4.6Decision
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W · KO · R1
Mohammad YahyaRating 5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
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