Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Las Vegas, USA

6 Jun 2026

Catchweight

49%

Silva

51%

Chairez

Win Probability

Bruno Silva

"Bulldog"

15 – 8

5'4"65" reachOrthodox36 yrsKnockout Artist

CFR 53

Edgar Chairez

"Puro Chicali"

13 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"

CFR 55

Bruno

Silva

2 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Chairez

Silva's fading career meets Chairez's breakout moment in a flyweight crossroads bout.

Bruno Silva's UFC story has become one of diminishing returns. The Brazilian flyweight once carried genuine knockout threat but has gone 1-4 in his last five, most recently dropped on the cards to Charles Johnson in March 2026. At 36, the window is closing fast. Chairez enters this one with rare momentum, having put together wins over Felipe Bunes and CJ Vergara to quiet the whispers about his ow…

Silva intel

Silva (15-8) has lost four of his last five, dropping a split decision to Charles Johnson at UFC Vegas 112 in March 2026. His striking output remains respectable but his chin has proven exploitable at this level. A loss tonight likely ends his UFC run.

Chairez intel

Chairez (13-6) enters having won his last two over Bunes and Vergara. He offers a six-inch reach advantage and has shown consistent improvement in fight IQ. His main threat comes via volume striking from range.

Key angles

Chairez's reach advantage controls distance

Silva's takedown threat is his only realistic path

Career desperation could motivate Silva to gamble early

Chairez's back-to-back wins indicate improved game plan execution

Risk flags

Silva is dangerous early and career desperation can produce surprising performances

If Silva gets a takedown, his ground work could neutralize Chairez's range game

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Silva

Chairez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

+5'7"

65"

Reach

+71"

Age

+30

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Silva

Chairez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

52.5

55.4

51.7

Performance Avg

50.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Silva

Chairez

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

1.3

1.4

49%

Strike Accuracy

50%

7.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

1.2

3 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Silva

Chairez

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.2

3.2

Grappling Style Score (/10)

6.1

2.2

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

4.3

Silva

Chairez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/23 fights

Chin rating based on

7/19 fights

Silva

Chairez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · KO · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Silva

Chairez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva

Chairez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.2

3.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

6.1

2.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

4.3

4.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

6.7

8.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.5

1.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.9

Silva

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Chairez

Silva

Attacking

180 landed

Absorbing

223 absorbed

Chairez

Attacking

96 landed

Absorbing

84 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Silva targets the head (74% of attacks) — Chairez absorbs 61% of strikes there

🎯Chairez targets the head (59% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 70% of strikes there

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8

WinLossTrend

Chairez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9

WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

Upcoming

Edgar Chairez

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Charles JohnsonRating 6.4

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03

W · Sub · R3

HyunSung ParkRating 7.3

Submission

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · KO · R3

Joshua VanRating 5.6

KO/TKO

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

L · KO · R3

Manel KapeRating 5.7

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Chairez · Last 5

Upcoming

Bruno Silva

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Felipe BunesRating 5.1

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Sub · R1

CJ VergaraRating 5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Joshua VanRating 7.1

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

W · Sub · R1

Daniel LacerdaRating 5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Bruno Silva · Edgar Chairez

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Edgar

Chairez

2 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG